Expected Points - Scotland Championship

Nation

Scotland

Division

2nd

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

70/180 Played

Progress

39% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Championship

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Saint Johnstone FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W D	2.21
Home	D W D D W	2.14
Away	W W L W D	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	2.71	2.43	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	0.71	0.43	1.00
BTTS	50%	43%	57%
CS	50%	57%	43%

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-3

Partick Thistle FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.00
Home	W D W W W	2.43
Away	W W D L D	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	2.86	3.00	2.71
Scored	1.71	2.14	1.29
Conceded	1.14	0.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	29%	29%	29%

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Ayr United FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L D	1.21
Home	D D W D L	1.00
Away	D W L D D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	17%	25%
AVG	2.29	2.33	2.25
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	1.07	1.17	1.00
BTTS	57%	67%	50%
CS	29%	0%	50%

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-6

Raith Rovers FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.29
Home	L W L W D	1.57
Away	W D L L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	43%	29%
AVG	2.07	2.14	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.29	0.71
Conceded	1.07	0.86	1.29
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	43%	43%	43%

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-2

Dunfermline Athletic FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	1.36
Home	L L D W D	1.29
Away	W L W L W	1.43

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	29%	43%
AVG	2.50	2.14	2.86
Scored	1.50	1.14	1.86
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	50%	43%	57%

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Arbroath FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.50
Home	L D W W W	2.00
Away	W L D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	57%	29%
AVG	2.79	3.14	2.43
Scored	1.36	1.86	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.29	1.57
BTTS	50%	57%	43%
CS	14%	29%	0%

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Ross County FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.86
Home	L L W W D	1.00
Away	D D D L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	29%	0%
AVG	2.86	3.43	2.29
Scored	1.21	1.57	0.86
Conceded	1.64	1.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	14%	14%	14%

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-1

Airdrieonians FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.57
Home	L L L W D	0.88
Away	L L L D L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	13%	0%
AVG	2.43	2.38	2.50
Scored	0.71	0.88	0.50
Conceded	1.71	1.50	2.00
BTTS	50%	63%	33%
CS	21%	25%	17%

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-2

Queen's Park FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D L W	0.93
Home	L L D D W	0.86
Away	D W D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	2.14	1.57	2.71
Scored	0.71	0.57	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.00	1.86
BTTS	57%	43%	71%
CS	29%	43%	14%

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Greenock Morton FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L D W	1.14
Home	L D D L W	1.00
Away	D D W D D	1.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	1.93	2.00	1.86
Scored	0.86	0.71	1.00
Conceded	1.07	1.29	0.86
BTTS	64%	43%	86%
CS	21%	29%	14%

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Expected Points Table for Scotland - Championship 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Saint Johnstone FC's xG was 0.95 and Partick Thistle FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Partick Thistle FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Saint Johnstone FC with 34 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Championship

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Saint Johnstone FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W D	2.21
Home	D W D D W	2.14
Away	W W L W D	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	2.71	2.43	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	0.71	0.43	1.00
BTTS	50%	43%	57%
CS	50%	57%	43%

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Partick Thistle FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.00
Home	W D W W W	2.43
Away	W W D L D	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	2.86	3.00	2.71
Scored	1.71	2.14	1.29
Conceded	1.14	0.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	29%	29%	29%

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Ayr United FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L D	1.21
Home	D D W D L	1.00
Away	D W L D D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	17%	25%
AVG	2.29	2.33	2.25
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	1.07	1.17	1.00
BTTS	57%	67%	50%
CS	29%	0%	50%

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Arbroath FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.50
Home	L D W W W	2.00
Away	W L D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	57%	29%
AVG	2.79	3.14	2.43
Scored	1.36	1.86	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.29	1.57
BTTS	50%	57%	43%
CS	14%	29%	0%

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Raith Rovers FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.29
Home	L W L W D	1.57
Away	W D L L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	43%	29%
AVG	2.07	2.14	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.29	0.71
Conceded	1.07	0.86	1.29
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	43%	43%	43%

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Ross County FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.86
Home	L L W W D	1.00
Away	D D D L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	29%	0%
AVG	2.86	3.43	2.29
Scored	1.21	1.57	0.86
Conceded	1.64	1.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	14%	14%	14%

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Dunfermline Athletic FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	1.36
Home	L L D W D	1.29
Away	W L W L W	1.43

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	29%	43%
AVG	2.50	2.14	2.86
Scored	1.50	1.14	1.86
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	50%	43%	57%

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Queen's Park FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D L W	0.93
Home	L L D D W	0.86
Away	D W D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	2.14	1.57	2.71
Scored	0.71	0.57	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.00	1.86
BTTS	57%	43%	71%
CS	29%	43%	14%

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Airdrieonians FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.57
Home	L L L W D	0.88
Away	L L L D L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	13%	0%
AVG	2.43	2.38	2.50
Scored	0.71	0.88	0.50
Conceded	1.71	1.50	2.00
BTTS	50%	63%	33%
CS	21%	25%	17%

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Greenock Morton FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L D W	1.14
Home	L D D L W	1.00
Away	D D W D D	1.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	1.93	2.00	1.86
Scored	0.86	0.71	1.00
Conceded	1.07	1.29	0.86
BTTS	64%	43%	86%
CS	21%	29%	14%

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Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - Championship 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Championship

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Saint Johnstone FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W D	2.21
Home	D W D D W	2.14
Away	W W L W D	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	2.71	2.43	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	0.71	0.43	1.00
BTTS	50%	43%	57%
CS	50%	57%	43%

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Ayr United FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L D	1.21
Home	D D W D L	1.00
Away	D W L D D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	17%	25%
AVG	2.29	2.33	2.25
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	1.07	1.17	1.00
BTTS	57%	67%	50%
CS	29%	0%	50%

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Raith Rovers FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.29
Home	L W L W D	1.57
Away	W D L L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	43%	29%
AVG	2.07	2.14	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.29	0.71
Conceded	1.07	0.86	1.29
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	43%	43%	43%

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Dunfermline Athletic FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	1.36
Home	L L D W D	1.29
Away	W L W L W	1.43

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	29%	43%
AVG	2.50	2.14	2.86
Scored	1.50	1.14	1.86
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	29%	29%	29%
CS	50%	43%	57%

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Partick Thistle FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.00
Home	W D W W W	2.43
Away	W W D L D	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	2.86	3.00	2.71
Scored	1.71	2.14	1.29
Conceded	1.14	0.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	29%	29%	29%

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Arbroath FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W L	1.50
Home	L D W W W	2.00
Away	W L D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	57%	29%
AVG	2.79	3.14	2.43
Scored	1.36	1.86	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.29	1.57
BTTS	50%	57%	43%
CS	14%	29%	0%

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Airdrieonians FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.57
Home	L L L W D	0.88
Away	L L L D L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	13%	0%
AVG	2.43	2.38	2.50
Scored	0.71	0.88	0.50
Conceded	1.71	1.50	2.00
BTTS	50%	63%	33%
CS	21%	25%	17%

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Greenock Morton FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L D W	1.14
Home	L D D L W	1.00
Away	D D W D D	1.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	1.93	2.00	1.86
Scored	0.86	0.71	1.00
Conceded	1.07	1.29	0.86
BTTS	64%	43%	86%
CS	21%	29%	14%

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Ross County FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L D	0.86
Home	L L W W D	1.00
Away	D D D L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	29%	0%
AVG	2.86	3.43	2.29
Scored	1.21	1.57	0.86
Conceded	1.64	1.86	1.43
BTTS	64%	71%	57%
CS	14%	14%	14%

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Queen's Park FC

Championship (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D L W	0.93
Home	L L D D W	0.86
Away	D W D L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	14%	14%	14%
AVG	2.14	1.57	2.71
Scored	0.71	0.57	0.86
Conceded	1.43	1.00	1.86
BTTS	57%	43%	71%
CS	29%	43%	14%

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Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - Championship 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland

Premiership Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

League One Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

League Two Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Scottish League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland / Lowland Football Leagues Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Scotland Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Challenge Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Scottish Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

SWPL 1 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 3/4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 2/3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 4/5 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

SWPL 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Womens Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

SWPL Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Lowland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

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