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Expected Points - Scotland League One
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Expected Points (xPts) - League One
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 74 | 70 | -4 |
| 2 | ![]() | Queen of the South FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 56 | 52 | -4 |
| 3 | ![]() | Alloa Athletic FC | 34 | 7 | 22 | 5 | 43 | 55 | +12 |
| 4 | ![]() | Hamilton Academical FC | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40 | 52 | +12 |
| 5 | ![]() | Peterhead FC | 34 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 39 | 43 | +4 |
| 6 | ![]() | Stenhousemuir FC | 34 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 39 | 61 | +22 |
| 7 | ![]() | East Fife FC | 34 | 7 | 17 | 10 | 38 | 33 | -5 |
| 8 | ![]() | Cove Rangers FC | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 37 | 36 | -1 |
| 9 | ![]() | Montrose FC | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 39 | +3 |
| 10 | ![]() | Kelty Hearts FC | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 22 | 25 | +3 |
Expected Points Table for Scotland - League One 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC's xG was 0.95 and Queen of the South FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Queen of the South FC.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC with 74 expected points.
Home Expected Points - League One
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 36 | 11 |
| 2 | ![]() | Queen of the South FC | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 29 | 19 |
| 3 | ![]() | Peterhead FC | 17 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 25 | 29 | 27 |
| 4 | ![]() | Alloa Athletic FC | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 27 | 12 |
| 5 | ![]() | Cove Rangers FC | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 6 | ![]() | Hamilton Academical FC | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 14 |
| 7 | ![]() | East Fife FC | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 26 |
| 8 | ![]() | Montrose FC | 17 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 24 | 31 |
| 9 | ![]() | Stenhousemuir FC | 17 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 12 |
| 10 | ![]() | Kelty Hearts FC | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31 |
Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - League One 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - League One
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 29 | 21 | 11 |
| 2 | ![]() | Queen of the South FC | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 23 |
| 3 | ![]() | Stenhousemuir FC | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 15 |
| 4 | ![]() | Alloa Athletic FC | 17 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 20 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | ![]() | Hamilton Academical FC | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 |
| 6 | ![]() | East Fife FC | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 32 |
| 7 | ![]() | Montrose FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 31 |
| 8 | ![]() | Peterhead FC | 17 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 32 |
| 9 | ![]() | Cove Rangers FC | 17 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | ![]() | Kelty Hearts FC | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 29 |
Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - League One 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 1
- Division 1
- Division 1
- Division 2
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- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 5
- Division 5
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