Expected Points - Scotland Premiership

Nation

Scotland

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

131/198 Played

Progress

66% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	2.00
Home	W L W L W	2.27
Away	W L W L W	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	73%	55%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.45
Scored	1.77	2.27	1.27
Conceded	0.95	0.73	1.18
BTTS	41%	36%	45%
CS	50%	64%	36%

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-6

Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.00
Home	D W W W W	2.00
Away	D W L W W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	55%	55%
AVG	2.32	2.00	2.64
Scored	1.55	1.27	1.82
Conceded	0.77	0.73	0.82
BTTS	55%	45%	64%
CS	41%	45%	36%

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-4

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.27
Home	D D W W W	2.45
Away	D W W L W	2.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	73%	64%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.64
Scored	1.91	2.09	1.73
Conceded	0.77	0.64	0.91
BTTS	45%	45%	45%
CS	50%	55%	45%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W D	1.59
Home	L W W W D	1.73
Away	W L L D W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	45%	36%
AVG	2.77	3.09	2.45
Scored	1.68	2.00	1.36
Conceded	1.09	1.09	1.09
BTTS	55%	55%	55%
CS	27%	36%	18%

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-5

Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	1.68
Home	D W W W W	2.18
Away	W D D L D	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	64%	18%
AVG	2.18	2.09	2.27
Scored	1.41	1.64	1.18
Conceded	0.77	0.45	1.09
BTTS	45%	27%	64%
CS	50%	73%	27%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	1.36
Home	D D L W L	1.27
Away	D L W L W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	27%	45%
AVG	2.32	2.36	2.27
Scored	1.05	1.18	0.91
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	41%	64%	18%
CS	32%	18%	45%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.14
Home	W D W D L	1.18
Away	W L L L L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	27%	36%
AVG	2.18	2.36	2.00
Scored	0.91	1.18	0.64
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	32%	45%	18%
CS	27%	27%	27%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	0.86
Home	L W W D L	1.18
Away	L D L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	10%
AVG	2.19	1.55	2.90
Scored	0.76	0.64	0.90
Conceded	1.43	0.91	2.00
BTTS	38%	18%	60%
CS	24%	45%	0%

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-3

Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W L L	1.14
Home	D D W D L	1.18
Away	D L D W L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	18%
AVG	2.82	2.55	3.09
Scored	1.27	1.18	1.36
Conceded	1.55	1.36	1.73
BTTS	59%	55%	64%
CS	14%	18%	9%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.48
Home	L D L L D	0.60
Away	D L L L L	0.36

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	5%	10%	0%
AVG	2.95	3.40	2.55
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.64
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.91
BTTS	67%	90%	45%
CS	5%	0%	9%

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-9

Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.64
Home	L D L L L	0.55
Away	D L D L D	0.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	9%	9%
AVG	2.68	2.45	2.91
Scored	0.91	0.73	1.09
Conceded	1.77	1.73	1.82
BTTS	59%	45%	73%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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-3

Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W L	1.00
Home	W L W W L	1.45
Away	L L D L W	0.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	45%	9%
AVG	2.41	2.73	2.09
Scored	0.86	1.27	0.45
Conceded	1.55	1.45	1.64
BTTS	41%	55%	27%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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+12

Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Celtic FC's xG was 0.95 and Rangers FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Rangers FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Celtic FC with 50 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	2.00
Home	W L W L W	2.27
Away	W L W L W	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	73%	55%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.45
Scored	1.77	2.27	1.27
Conceded	0.95	0.73	1.18
BTTS	41%	36%	45%
CS	50%	64%	36%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.00
Home	D W W W W	2.00
Away	D W L W W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	55%	55%
AVG	2.32	2.00	2.64
Scored	1.55	1.27	1.82
Conceded	0.77	0.73	0.82
BTTS	55%	45%	64%
CS	41%	45%	36%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.27
Home	D D W W W	2.45
Away	D W W L W	2.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	73%	64%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.64
Scored	1.91	2.09	1.73
Conceded	0.77	0.64	0.91
BTTS	45%	45%	45%
CS	50%	55%	45%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	1.68
Home	D W W W W	2.18
Away	W D D L D	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	64%	18%
AVG	2.18	2.09	2.27
Scored	1.41	1.64	1.18
Conceded	0.77	0.45	1.09
BTTS	45%	27%	64%
CS	50%	73%	27%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W D	1.59
Home	L W W W D	1.73
Away	W L L D W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	45%	36%
AVG	2.77	3.09	2.45
Scored	1.68	2.00	1.36
Conceded	1.09	1.09	1.09
BTTS	55%	55%	55%
CS	27%	36%	18%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.14
Home	W D W D L	1.18
Away	W L L L L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	27%	36%
AVG	2.18	2.36	2.00
Scored	0.91	1.18	0.64
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	32%	45%	18%
CS	27%	27%	27%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	1.36
Home	D D L W L	1.27
Away	D L W L W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	27%	45%
AVG	2.32	2.36	2.27
Scored	1.05	1.18	0.91
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	41%	64%	18%
CS	32%	18%	45%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.64
Home	L D L L L	0.55
Away	D L D L D	0.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	9%	9%
AVG	2.68	2.45	2.91
Scored	0.91	0.73	1.09
Conceded	1.77	1.73	1.82
BTTS	59%	45%	73%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W L L	1.14
Home	D D W D L	1.18
Away	D L D W L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	18%
AVG	2.82	2.55	3.09
Scored	1.27	1.18	1.36
Conceded	1.55	1.36	1.73
BTTS	59%	55%	64%
CS	14%	18%	9%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.48
Home	L D L L D	0.60
Away	D L L L L	0.36

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	5%	10%	0%
AVG	2.95	3.40	2.55
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.64
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.91
BTTS	67%	90%	45%
CS	5%	0%	9%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	0.86
Home	L W W D L	1.18
Away	L D L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	10%
AVG	2.19	1.55	2.90
Scored	0.76	0.64	0.90
Conceded	1.43	0.91	2.00
BTTS	38%	18%	60%
CS	24%	45%	0%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W L	1.00
Home	W L W W L	1.45
Away	L L D L W	0.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	45%	9%
AVG	2.41	2.73	2.09
Scored	0.86	1.27	0.45
Conceded	1.55	1.45	1.64
BTTS	41%	55%	27%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	2.27
Home	D D W W W	2.45
Away	D W W L W	2.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	73%	64%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.64
Scored	1.91	2.09	1.73
Conceded	0.77	0.64	0.91
BTTS	45%	45%	45%
CS	50%	55%	45%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.00
Home	D W W W W	2.00
Away	D W L W W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	55%	55%
AVG	2.32	2.00	2.64
Scored	1.55	1.27	1.82
Conceded	0.77	0.73	0.82
BTTS	55%	45%	64%
CS	41%	45%	36%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W D	1.59
Home	L W W W D	1.73
Away	W L L D W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	45%	36%
AVG	2.77	3.09	2.45
Scored	1.68	2.00	1.36
Conceded	1.09	1.09	1.09
BTTS	55%	55%	55%
CS	27%	36%	18%

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Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	2.00
Home	W L W L W	2.27
Away	W L W L W	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	73%	55%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.45
Scored	1.77	2.27	1.27
Conceded	0.95	0.73	1.18
BTTS	41%	36%	45%
CS	50%	64%	36%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	1.68
Home	D W W W W	2.18
Away	W D D L D	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	41%	64%	18%
AVG	2.18	2.09	2.27
Scored	1.41	1.64	1.18
Conceded	0.77	0.45	1.09
BTTS	45%	27%	64%
CS	50%	73%	27%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	0.86
Home	L W W D L	1.18
Away	L D L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	10%
AVG	2.19	1.55	2.90
Scored	0.76	0.64	0.90
Conceded	1.43	0.91	2.00
BTTS	38%	18%	60%
CS	24%	45%	0%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	1.36
Home	D D L W L	1.27
Away	D L W L W	1.45

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	27%	45%
AVG	2.32	2.36	2.27
Scored	1.05	1.18	0.91
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	41%	64%	18%
CS	32%	18%	45%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W L L	1.14
Home	D D W D L	1.18
Away	D L D W L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	18%
AVG	2.82	2.55	3.09
Scored	1.27	1.18	1.36
Conceded	1.55	1.36	1.73
BTTS	59%	55%	64%
CS	14%	18%	9%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.48
Home	L D L L D	0.60
Away	D L L L L	0.36

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	5%	10%	0%
AVG	2.95	3.40	2.55
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.64
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.91
BTTS	67%	90%	45%
CS	5%	0%	9%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.14
Home	W D W D L	1.18
Away	W L L L L	1.09

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	27%	36%
AVG	2.18	2.36	2.00
Scored	0.91	1.18	0.64
Conceded	1.27	1.18	1.36
BTTS	32%	45%	18%
CS	27%	27%	27%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.64
Home	L D L L L	0.55
Away	D L D L D	0.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	9%	9%
AVG	2.68	2.45	2.91
Scored	0.91	0.73	1.09
Conceded	1.77	1.73	1.82
BTTS	59%	45%	73%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W L	1.00
Home	W L W W L	1.45
Away	L L D L W	0.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	45%	9%
AVG	2.41	2.73	2.09
Scored	0.86	1.27	0.45
Conceded	1.55	1.45	1.64
BTTS	41%	55%	27%
CS	18%	18%	18%

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Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland

Premiership Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

League One Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

League Two Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Scottish League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland / Lowland Football Leagues Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Scotland Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Challenge Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Scottish Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

SWPL 1 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 3/4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 2/3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 4/5 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

SWPL 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Womens Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

SWPL Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Lowland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

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