Expected Points - Scotland Premiership

Nation

Scotland

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

12/195 Played

Progress

6% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	1.50	1.00	2.00
Scored	1.50	1.00	2.00
Conceded	0.00	0.00	0.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	100%	100%	100%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	3.50	2.00	5.00
Scored	2.50	2.00	3.00
Conceded	1.00	0.00	2.00
BTTS	50%	0%	100%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W	2.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	100%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.50	3.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	1.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D	2.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	0%	100%
AVG	3.50	4.00	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-2

Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	1.00	2.00	0.00
Scored	0.50	1.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	1.00	0.00
BTTS	50%	100%	0%
CS	50%	0%	100%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	1.50	2.00	1.00
Conceded	2.50	2.00	3.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	0.50	0.00	1.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	0.00	1.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.50	5.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.50	3.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.50	3.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L	0.00
Home	L	0.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Celtic FC's xG was 0.95 and Heart of Midlothian FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Heart of Midlothian FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Celtic FC with 6 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	1.50	1.00	2.00
Scored	1.50	1.00	2.00
Conceded	0.00	0.00	0.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	100%	100%	100%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	3.50	2.00	5.00
Scored	2.50	2.00	3.00
Conceded	1.00	0.00	2.00
BTTS	50%	0%	100%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W	2.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	100%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.50	3.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	1.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D	2.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	0%	100%
AVG	3.50	4.00	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	1.00	2.00	0.00
Scored	0.50	1.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	1.00	0.00
BTTS	50%	100%	0%
CS	50%	0%	100%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	1.50	2.00	1.00
Conceded	2.50	2.00	3.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	0.50	0.00	1.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	0.00	1.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.50	5.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.50	3.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.50	3.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L	0.00
Home	L	0.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	1.50	1.00	2.00
Scored	1.50	1.00	2.00
Conceded	0.00	0.00	0.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	100%	100%	100%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W	3.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	3.50	2.00	5.00
Scored	2.50	2.00	3.00
Conceded	1.00	0.00	2.00
BTTS	50%	0%	100%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D	2.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	0%	100%
AVG	3.50	4.00	3.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W	2.00
Home	W	3.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	100%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.50	3.00	2.00
Conceded	1.50	1.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	1.00	2.00	0.00
Scored	0.50	1.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	1.00	0.00
BTTS	50%	100%	0%
CS	50%	0%	100%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D	1.00
Home	D	1.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.50	5.00	4.00
Scored	2.00	2.00	2.00
Conceded	2.50	3.00	2.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.00	4.00	4.00
Scored	1.50	2.00	1.00
Conceded	2.50	2.00	3.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	D	1.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	0.50	0.00	1.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	0.50	0.00	1.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	50%	100%	0%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D	0.50
Home	L	0.00
Away	D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.50	3.00	2.00
Scored	1.00	1.00	1.00
Conceded	1.50	2.00	1.00
BTTS	100%	100%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L	0.00
Home	L	0.00
Away	L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.00	2.00	2.00
Scored	0.00	0.00	0.00
Conceded	2.00	2.00	2.00
BTTS	0%	0%	0%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland

Premiership Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

League One Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

League Two Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Scottish League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland / Lowland Football Leagues Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Scotland Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Challenge Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Scottish Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

SWPL 1 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 3/4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 2/3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 4/5 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

SWPL 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Womens Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

SWPL Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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