Expected Points - Scotland Premiership

Nation

Scotland

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

180/198 Played

Progress

91% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D W W	2.03
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	W D W D W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.93	3.00	2.87
Scored	1.87	2.20	1.53
Conceded	1.07	0.80	1.33
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	40%	53%	27%

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-8

Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D D W	2.00
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	60%	47%
AVG	2.57	2.73	2.40
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.87	0.80
BTTS	57%	53%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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-3

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	2.10
Home	W D W W W	2.47
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.57	2.47	2.67
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.60	1.07
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	50%	60%	40%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.77
Home	W W D W W	2.27
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	67%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.20	2.60
Scored	1.63	1.80	1.47
Conceded	0.77	0.40	1.13
BTTS	43%	27%	60%
CS	53%	73%	33%

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-2

Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.57
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	W L L W D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	47%	33%
AVG	2.77	2.73	2.80
Scored	1.60	1.80	1.40
Conceded	1.17	0.93	1.40
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	30%	47%	13%

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-7

Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W D	1.43
Home	L W W L W	1.53
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	2.53	2.87	2.20
Scored	1.27	1.67	0.87
Conceded	1.27	1.20	1.33
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W D	1.13
Home	L L D D W	1.20
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	20%
AVG	2.87	2.40	3.33
Scored	1.27	1.07	1.47
Conceded	1.60	1.33	1.87
BTTS	60%	53%	67%
CS	13%	20%	7%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	1.00
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L L D L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	27%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.93	1.87
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.47
Conceded	1.40	1.40	1.40
BTTS	37%	60%	13%
CS	23%	20%	27%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.80
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	2.30	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.77	0.53	1.00
Conceded	1.53	1.07	2.00
BTTS	40%	13%	67%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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-4

Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D D D	0.50
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	3.00	3.13	2.87
Scored	1.03	1.27	0.80
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.07
BTTS	70%	87%	53%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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-6

Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L W	0.80
Home	L W W L W	1.00
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	3.10	2.87	3.33
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.33
BTTS	60%	47%	73%
CS	20%	27%	13%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D W D	1.07
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	W L D L W	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	40%	13%
AVG	2.63	3.13	2.13
Scored	1.03	1.53	0.53
Conceded	1.60	1.60	1.60
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	17%	13%	20%

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+12

Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Celtic FC's xG was 0.95 and Rangers FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Rangers FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Celtic FC with 69 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D W W	2.03
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	W D W D W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.93	3.00	2.87
Scored	1.87	2.20	1.53
Conceded	1.07	0.80	1.33
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	40%	53%	27%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D D W	2.00
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	60%	47%
AVG	2.57	2.73	2.40
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.87	0.80
BTTS	57%	53%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.77
Home	W W D W W	2.27
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	67%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.20	2.60
Scored	1.63	1.80	1.47
Conceded	0.77	0.40	1.13
BTTS	43%	27%	60%
CS	53%	73%	33%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	2.10
Home	W D W W W	2.47
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.57	2.47	2.67
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.60	1.07
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	50%	60%	40%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.57
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	W L L W D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	47%	33%
AVG	2.77	2.73	2.80
Scored	1.60	1.80	1.40
Conceded	1.17	0.93	1.40
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	30%	47%	13%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W D	1.43
Home	L W W L W	1.53
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	2.53	2.87	2.20
Scored	1.27	1.67	0.87
Conceded	1.27	1.20	1.33
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	1.00
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L L D L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	27%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.93	1.87
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.47
Conceded	1.40	1.40	1.40
BTTS	37%	60%	13%
CS	23%	20%	27%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W D	1.13
Home	L L D D W	1.20
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	20%
AVG	2.87	2.40	3.33
Scored	1.27	1.07	1.47
Conceded	1.60	1.33	1.87
BTTS	60%	53%	67%
CS	13%	20%	7%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L W	0.80
Home	L W W L W	1.00
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	3.10	2.87	3.33
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.33
BTTS	60%	47%	73%
CS	20%	27%	13%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.80
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	2.30	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.77	0.53	1.00
Conceded	1.53	1.07	2.00
BTTS	40%	13%	67%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D D D	0.50
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	3.00	3.13	2.87
Scored	1.03	1.27	0.80
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.07
BTTS	70%	87%	53%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D W D	1.07
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	W L D L W	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	40%	13%
AVG	2.63	3.13	2.13
Scored	1.03	1.53	0.53
Conceded	1.60	1.60	1.60
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	17%	13%	20%

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Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W L	2.10
Home	W D W W W	2.47
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.57	2.47	2.67
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.60	1.07
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	50%	60%	40%

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Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D W W	2.03
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	W D W D W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	73%	53%
AVG	2.93	3.00	2.87
Scored	1.87	2.20	1.53
Conceded	1.07	0.80	1.33
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	40%	53%	27%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D D W	2.00
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	60%	47%
AVG	2.57	2.73	2.40
Scored	1.73	1.87	1.60
Conceded	0.83	0.87	0.80
BTTS	57%	53%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.57
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	W L L W D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	47%	33%
AVG	2.77	2.73	2.80
Scored	1.60	1.80	1.40
Conceded	1.17	0.93	1.40
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	30%	47%	13%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.77
Home	W W D W W	2.27
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	67%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.20	2.60
Scored	1.63	1.80	1.47
Conceded	0.77	0.40	1.13
BTTS	43%	27%	60%
CS	53%	73%	33%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W D	1.43
Home	L W W L W	1.53
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	2.53	2.87	2.20
Scored	1.27	1.67	0.87
Conceded	1.27	1.20	1.33
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.80
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	2.30	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.77	0.53	1.00
Conceded	1.53	1.07	2.00
BTTS	40%	13%	67%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W D	1.13
Home	L L D D W	1.20
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	27%	20%
AVG	2.87	2.40	3.33
Scored	1.27	1.07	1.47
Conceded	1.60	1.33	1.87
BTTS	60%	53%	67%
CS	13%	20%	7%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D D D	0.50
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	3.00	3.13	2.87
Scored	1.03	1.27	0.80
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.07
BTTS	70%	87%	53%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D W D	1.07
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	W L D L W	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	40%	13%
AVG	2.63	3.13	2.13
Scored	1.03	1.53	0.53
Conceded	1.60	1.60	1.60
BTTS	47%	67%	27%
CS	17%	13%	20%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	1.00
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L L D L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	27%	27%
AVG	2.40	2.93	1.87
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.47
Conceded	1.40	1.40	1.40
BTTS	37%	60%	13%
CS	23%	20%	27%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L W	0.80
Home	L W W L W	1.00
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	27%	7%
AVG	3.10	2.87	3.33
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.33
BTTS	60%	47%	73%
CS	20%	27%	13%

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Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland

Premiership Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

League One Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

League Two Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Scottish League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland / Lowland Football Leagues Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Scotland Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Challenge Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Scottish Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

SWPL 1 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 3/4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 2/3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 4/5 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

SWPL 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Womens Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

SWPL Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Lowland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

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