Expected Points - Germany Bundesliga
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Expected Points (xPts) - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 7 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 |
| 8 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
| 12 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if SC Freiburg's xG was 0.95 and BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be SC Freiburg with 3 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 2 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Home Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 18 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Away Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Germany
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
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