Expected Points - Germany Bundesliga
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Expected Points (xPts) - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 47 | 47 | 0 |
| 2 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 32 | +2 |
| 3 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 32 | +2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 5 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 36 | +7 |
| 6 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 30 | +5 |
| 7 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 27 | +3 |
| 8 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 23 | -1 |
| 9 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 23 | +2 |
| 10 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 12 | -7 |
| 11 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18 | +4 |
| 18 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 12 | +1 |
Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FC Bayern München's xG was 0.95 and VfB Stuttgart 1893's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for VfB Stuttgart 1893.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FC Bayern München with 47 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 39 | 7 |
| 2 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 19 | 10 |
| 3 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 21 | 6 |
| 4 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 16 | 4 |
| 5 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | 10 |
| 6 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 20 | 12 |
| 8 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 10 |
| 9 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 10 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 11 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 12 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 17 |
| 14 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 15 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 20 |
| 16 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 18 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 19 |
Home Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 27 | 6 |
| 2 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 15 |
| 3 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| 4 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 11 |
| 5 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 6 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 11 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 19 |
| 12 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 13 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 18 |
| 14 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 |
| 15 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 16 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17 |
| 17 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 17 |
| 18 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 19 |
Away Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Germany
- Division 1
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- Division 1
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- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
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- Division 5
- Division 5
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- Division 5
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- Division 4
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- Cup or Playoff
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