Expected Points - Germany Bundesliga
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Expected Points (xPts) - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 89 | 89 | 0 |
| 2 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 69 | 65 | -4 |
| 3 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 62 | 73 | +11 |
| 4 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 61 | 59 | -2 |
| 5 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 61 | +2 |
| 6 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 58 | 62 | +4 |
| 7 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 32 | -18 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 43 | 39 | -4 |
| 9 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40 | 47 | +7 |
| 10 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 39 | 44 | +5 |
| 11 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 32 | -5 |
| 12 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 34 | 6 | 18 | 10 | 36 | 43 | +7 |
| 13 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34 | 40 | +6 |
| 14 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 26 | -7 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 38 | +7 |
| 16 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 24 | 38 | +14 |
| 18 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 20 | 26 | +6 |
Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FC Bayern München's xG was 0.95 and Rasen Ballsport Leipzig's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Rasen Ballsport Leipzig.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FC Bayern München with 89 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 49 | 68 | 19 |
| 2 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 38 | 19 |
| 3 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 39 | 40 | 20 |
| 4 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 38 | 40 | 16 |
| 5 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 35 | 21 |
| 6 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 19 | 31 |
| 7 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 30 | 16 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28 | 30 | 30 |
| 9 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 33 | 22 |
| 10 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| 11 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 17 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 29 | 27 |
| 12 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 21 | 25 |
| 13 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 32 |
| 14 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 17 | 31 |
| 15 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 28 |
| 16 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 24 |
| 17 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 22 |
| 18 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 37 |
Home Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 54 | 17 |
| 2 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 26 | 27 |
| 3 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 30 | 18 |
| 4 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 41 | 33 |
| 5 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 30 | 28 |
| 6 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 30 | 31 |
| 7 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 33 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 32 |
| 9 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
| 10 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
| 11 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 38 |
| 12 | ![]() | FC St. Pauli | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 29 |
| 13 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 17 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 29 |
| 14 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 23 | 28 |
| 15 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 33 |
| 16 | ![]() | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 35 |
| 17 | ![]() | VfL Wolfsburg | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 37 |
| 18 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 |
Away Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Germany
- Division 1
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