Expected Points - Germany Bundesliga
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Expected Points (xPts) - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 2 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -5 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 4 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -3 |
| 6 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 |
| 7 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +5 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 9 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +3 |
| 11 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | +4 |
| 13 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +5 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | +4 |
| 17 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +4 |
| 18 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +3 |
Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if SC Freiburg's xG was 0.95 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be SC Freiburg with 12 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| 2 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
| 4 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 11 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 14 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| 15 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| 17 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
Home Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | SC Freiburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | ![]() | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Bayern München | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | ![]() | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FC Köln | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | ![]() | Rasen Ballsport Leipzig | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | ![]() | BVB 09 Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | ![]() | SV Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | ![]() | VfB Stuttgart 1893 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 | ![]() | 1. FC Union Berlin | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | ![]() | FC Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | ![]() | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 |
| 15 | ![]() | Borussia VfL Mönchengladbach | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | ![]() | Hamburger SV | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Away Expected Points Table for Germany - Bundesliga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Germany
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
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