Expected Points - Germany 2. Bundesliga
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Expected Points (xPts) - 2. Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 70 | 67 | -3 |
| 2 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 32 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 62 | 59 | -3 |
| 3 | ![]() | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54 | 36 | -18 |
| 4 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 51 | 58 | +7 |
| 5 | ![]() | Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 49 | 58 | +9 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FC Magdeburg | 32 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 47 | 36 | -11 |
| 7 | ![]() | VfL Bochum 1848 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 40 | -7 |
| 8 | ![]() | Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895 | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 44 | 34 | -10 |
| 9 | ![]() | 1. FC Nürnberg | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 42 | +1 |
| 10 | ![]() | Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 40 | 34 | -6 |
| 11 | ![]() | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 46 | +7 |
| 12 | ![]() | SV Darmstadt 1898 | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 37 | 51 | +14 |
| 13 | ![]() | SG Dynamo Dresden | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 38 | +2 |
| 14 | ![]() | Kieler SV Holstein 1900 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 41 | +8 |
| 15 | ![]() | Hertha BSC | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 32 | 48 | +16 |
| 16 | ![]() | SC Preußen 06 Münster | 32 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 28 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 | ![]() | Karlsruher SC | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 43 | +16 |
| 18 | ![]() | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 32 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 21 | 34 | +13 |
Expected Points Table for Germany - 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FC Schalke 04's xG was 0.95 and SV 07 Elversberg's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for SV 07 Elversberg.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FC Schalke 04 with 70 expected points.
Home Expected Points - 2. Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 28 | 14 |
| 2 | ![]() | VfL Bochum 1848 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 29 | 20 |
| 3 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 32 | 14 |
| 4 | ![]() | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 28 | 20 |
| 5 | ![]() | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 33 | 19 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FC Magdeburg | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 23 | 27 |
| 7 | ![]() | Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 24 | 20 |
| 8 | ![]() | 1. FC Nürnberg | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 24 | 17 |
| 9 | ![]() | SV Darmstadt 1898 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 32 | 15 |
| 10 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 33 | 25 |
| 11 | ![]() | Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 25 |
| 12 | ![]() | Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 25 |
| 13 | ![]() | Kieler SV Holstein 1900 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | ![]() | Hertha BSC | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 17 |
| 15 | ![]() | SC Preußen 06 Münster | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 21 | 25 |
| 16 | ![]() | SG Dynamo Dresden | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 21 |
| 17 | ![]() | Karlsruher SC | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 33 | 27 |
| 18 | ![]() | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 31 |
Home Expected Points Table for Germany - 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - 2. Bundesliga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Schalke 04 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 14 |
| 2 | ![]() | SV 07 Elversberg | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 28 | 22 |
| 3 | ![]() | SC Paderborn 07 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 18 |
| 4 | ![]() | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 28 |
| 5 | ![]() | Hannoverscher Sportverein 1896 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 32 | 20 |
| 6 | ![]() | 1. FC Magdeburg | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 29 |
| 7 | ![]() | Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 27 |
| 8 | ![]() | SG Dynamo Dresden | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 29 |
| 9 | ![]() | Düsseldorfer TuS Fortuna 1895 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 24 |
| 10 | ![]() | 1. FC Nürnberg | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | ![]() | VfL Bochum 1848 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 25 |
| 12 | ![]() | Hertha BSC | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 20 |
| 13 | ![]() | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 35 |
| 14 | ![]() | SV Darmstadt 1898 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 27 |
| 15 | ![]() | Kieler SV Holstein 1900 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 27 |
| 16 | ![]() | Karlsruher SC | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 33 |
| 17 | ![]() | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 28 |
| 18 | ![]() | SC Preußen 06 Münster | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32 |
Away Expected Points Table for Germany - 2. Bundesliga 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Germany
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 5
- Division 5
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
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