Expected Points - Scotland Premiership

Nation

Scotland

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

186/198 Played

Progress

94% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W W L	1.97
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	D W D W L	1.69

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	61%	73%	50%
AVG	2.90	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.81	2.20	1.44
Conceded	1.10	0.80	1.38
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	39%	53%	25%

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-8

Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.03
Home	W W W D W	2.19
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	63%	47%
AVG	2.65	2.88	2.40
Scored	1.81	2.00	1.60
Conceded	0.84	0.88	0.80
BTTS	58%	56%	60%
CS	39%	38%	40%

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-3

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	2.13
Home	D W W W W	2.50
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	75%	53%
AVG	2.52	2.38	2.67
Scored	1.71	1.81	1.60
Conceded	0.81	0.56	1.07
BTTS	39%	38%	40%
CS	52%	63%	40%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L D	1.74
Home	W D W W D	2.19
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	63%	27%
AVG	2.32	2.06	2.60
Scored	1.58	1.69	1.47
Conceded	0.74	0.38	1.13
BTTS	42%	25%	60%
CS	55%	75%	33%

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-2

Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D D	1.55
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	L L W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	47%	31%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.63
Scored	1.55	1.80	1.31
Conceded	1.13	0.93	1.31
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	32%	47%	19%

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-7

Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.39
Home	W W L W L	1.44
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	38%	40%
AVG	2.55	2.88	2.20
Scored	1.26	1.63	0.87
Conceded	1.29	1.25	1.33
BTTS	48%	69%	27%
CS	26%	19%	33%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D W	1.19
Home	L D D W W	1.31
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	31%	20%
AVG	2.84	2.38	3.33
Scored	1.29	1.13	1.47
Conceded	1.55	1.25	1.87
BTTS	58%	50%	67%
CS	16%	25%	7%

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-1

Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.87
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	L L D L W	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	13%
AVG	2.32	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.81	0.53	1.06
Conceded	1.52	1.07	1.94
BTTS	42%	13%	69%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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-2

Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.97
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L D L L	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	27%	25%
AVG	2.48	2.93	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.48	1.40	1.56
BTTS	39%	60%	19%
CS	23%	20%	25%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	0.87
Home	W W L W W	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	31%	7%
AVG	3.06	2.81	3.33
Scored	1.13	1.25	1.00
Conceded	1.94	1.56	2.33
BTTS	58%	44%	73%
CS	23%	31%	13%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.48
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L D D L	0.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.97	3.13	2.81
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.75
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.06
BTTS	68%	87%	50%
CS	6%	0%	13%

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-6

Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D L	1.03
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	40%	13%
AVG	2.58	3.13	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.58	1.60	1.56
BTTS	45%	67%	25%
CS	16%	13%	19%

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+12

Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Celtic FC's xG was 0.95 and Rangers FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Rangers FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Celtic FC with 69 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W W L	1.97
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	D W D W L	1.69

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	61%	73%	50%
AVG	2.90	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.81	2.20	1.44
Conceded	1.10	0.80	1.38
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	39%	53%	25%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.03
Home	W W W D W	2.19
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	63%	47%
AVG	2.65	2.88	2.40
Scored	1.81	2.00	1.60
Conceded	0.84	0.88	0.80
BTTS	58%	56%	60%
CS	39%	38%	40%

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Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	2.13
Home	D W W W W	2.50
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	75%	53%
AVG	2.52	2.38	2.67
Scored	1.71	1.81	1.60
Conceded	0.81	0.56	1.07
BTTS	39%	38%	40%
CS	52%	63%	40%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L D	1.74
Home	W D W W D	2.19
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	63%	27%
AVG	2.32	2.06	2.60
Scored	1.58	1.69	1.47
Conceded	0.74	0.38	1.13
BTTS	42%	25%	60%
CS	55%	75%	33%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D D	1.55
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	L L W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	47%	31%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.63
Scored	1.55	1.80	1.31
Conceded	1.13	0.93	1.31
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	32%	47%	19%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.39
Home	W W L W L	1.44
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	38%	40%
AVG	2.55	2.88	2.20
Scored	1.26	1.63	0.87
Conceded	1.29	1.25	1.33
BTTS	48%	69%	27%
CS	26%	19%	33%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D W	1.19
Home	L D D W W	1.31
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	31%	20%
AVG	2.84	2.38	3.33
Scored	1.29	1.13	1.47
Conceded	1.55	1.25	1.87
BTTS	58%	50%	67%
CS	16%	25%	7%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.97
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L D L L	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	27%	25%
AVG	2.48	2.93	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.48	1.40	1.56
BTTS	39%	60%	19%
CS	23%	20%	25%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	0.87
Home	W W L W W	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	31%	7%
AVG	3.06	2.81	3.33
Scored	1.13	1.25	1.00
Conceded	1.94	1.56	2.33
BTTS	58%	44%	73%
CS	23%	31%	13%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.87
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	L L D L W	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	13%
AVG	2.32	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.81	0.53	1.06
Conceded	1.52	1.07	1.94
BTTS	42%	13%	69%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.48
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L D D L	0.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.97	3.13	2.81
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.75
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.06
BTTS	68%	87%	50%
CS	6%	0%	13%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D L	1.03
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	40%	13%
AVG	2.58	3.13	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.58	1.60	1.56
BTTS	45%	67%	25%
CS	16%	13%	19%

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Home Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Premiership

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Heart of Midlothian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	2.13
Home	D W W W W	2.50
Away	W W L L L	1.73

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	75%	53%
AVG	2.52	2.38	2.67
Scored	1.71	1.81	1.60
Conceded	0.81	0.56	1.07
BTTS	39%	38%	40%
CS	52%	63%	40%

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Celtic FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W W L	1.97
Home	W W W L W	2.27
Away	D W D W L	1.69

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	61%	73%	50%
AVG	2.90	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.81	2.20	1.44
Conceded	1.10	0.80	1.38
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	39%	53%	25%

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Rangers FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.03
Home	W W W D W	2.19
Away	W D D D W	1.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	55%	63%	47%
AVG	2.65	2.88	2.40
Scored	1.81	2.00	1.60
Conceded	0.84	0.88	0.80
BTTS	58%	56%	60%
CS	39%	38%	40%

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Hibernian FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D D	1.55
Home	D D W W D	1.80
Away	L L W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	47%	31%
AVG	2.68	2.73	2.63
Scored	1.55	1.80	1.31
Conceded	1.13	0.93	1.31
BTTS	52%	47%	56%
CS	32%	47%	19%

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Motherwell FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L D	1.74
Home	W D W W D	2.19
Away	D W W L L	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	63%	27%
AVG	2.32	2.06	2.60
Scored	1.58	1.69	1.47
Conceded	0.74	0.38	1.13
BTTS	42%	25%	60%
CS	55%	75%	33%

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Falkirk FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D L	1.39
Home	W W L W L	1.44
Away	W L W L D	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	38%	40%
AVG	2.55	2.88	2.20
Scored	1.26	1.63	0.87
Conceded	1.29	1.25	1.33
BTTS	48%	69%	27%
CS	26%	19%	33%

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Dundee United FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D W	1.19
Home	L D D W W	1.31
Away	L L W L D	1.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	31%	20%
AVG	2.84	2.38	3.33
Scored	1.29	1.13	1.47
Conceded	1.55	1.25	1.87
BTTS	58%	50%	67%
CS	16%	25%	7%

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Saint Mirren FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.87
Home	L D W L L	1.13
Away	L L D L W	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	27%	13%
AVG	2.32	1.60	3.00
Scored	0.81	0.53	1.06
Conceded	1.52	1.07	1.94
BTTS	42%	13%	69%
CS	23%	47%	0%

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Livingston FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.48
Home	D L L D D	0.60
Away	L L D D L	0.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.97	3.13	2.81
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.75
Conceded	1.97	1.87	2.06
BTTS	68%	87%	50%
CS	6%	0%	13%

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Dundee FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D L	1.03
Home	L D D W D	1.47
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	40%	13%
AVG	2.58	3.13	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.58	1.60	1.56
BTTS	45%	67%	25%
CS	16%	13%	19%

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Aberdeen FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.97
Home	L W L L D	1.13
Away	L L D L L	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	26%	27%	25%
AVG	2.48	2.93	2.06
Scored	1.00	1.53	0.50
Conceded	1.48	1.40	1.56
BTTS	39%	60%	19%
CS	23%	20%	25%

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Kilmarnock FC

Premiership (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 12

Scotland

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	0.87
Home	W W L W W	1.13
Away	D L L D L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	31%	7%
AVG	3.06	2.81	3.33
Scored	1.13	1.25	1.00
Conceded	1.94	1.56	2.33
BTTS	58%	44%	73%
CS	23%	31%	13%

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Away Expected Points Table for Scotland - Premiership 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Scotland

Premiership Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

League One Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

League Two Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Scottish League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland / Lowland Football Leagues Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Scotland Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Challenge Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Scottish Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

SWPL 1 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 3/4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 2/3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Scotland Play-offs 4/5 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

SWPL 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Womens Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

SWPL Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Highland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

Lowland League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 5

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