Expected Points - Wales Welsh Premier League

Nation

Wales

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2026/27

Matches

71/240 Played

Progress

30% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.11
Home	L W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	3.22	3.40	3.00
Scored	2.44	2.80	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.60	1.00
BTTS	56%	40%	75%
CS	44%	60%	25%

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-4

Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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-3

Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.78
Home	W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	100%	20%
AVG	3.00	2.00	3.80
Scored	1.67	1.75	1.60
Conceded	1.33	0.25	2.20
BTTS	33%	25%	40%
CS	44%	75%	20%

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-1

Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W W	1.67
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	L W L D W	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	2.50	3.40
Scored	1.78	1.50	2.00
Conceded	1.22	1.00	1.40
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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-1

Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	2.11
Home	L W L W	1.50
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	50%	80%
AVG	3.78	3.50	4.00
Scored	2.67	2.25	3.00
Conceded	1.11	1.25	1.00
BTTS	56%	50%	60%
CS	44%	50%	40%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.75
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
AVG	3.63	4.75	2.50
Scored	2.38	2.75	2.00
Conceded	1.25	2.00	0.50
BTTS	38%	50%	25%
CS	38%	25%	50%

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-2

Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	2.33
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	2.44	2.20	2.75
Scored	1.67	1.40	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.80	0.75
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	44%	40%	50%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.44
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	78%	80%	75%
AVG	3.78	3.80	3.75
Scored	2.56	2.60	2.50
Conceded	1.22	1.20	1.25
BTTS	78%	80%	75%
CS	11%	20%	0%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L L	1.33
Home	L W W L	1.50
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	3.50	2.60
Scored	1.44	2.00	1.00
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.60
BTTS	22%	25%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.78
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	22%	33%	17%
AVG	2.89	3.33	2.67
Scored	0.89	1.00	0.83
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.83
BTTS	56%	67%	50%
CS	11%	0%	17%

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-2

Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	0.88
Home	L L L W W	1.20
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	40%	0%
AVG	2.50	2.80	2.00
Scored	0.75	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.75	1.80	1.67
BTTS	38%	40%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.22
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.89	2.60	3.25
Scored	0.33	0.20	0.50
Conceded	2.56	2.40	2.75
BTTS	33%	20%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-3

Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.22
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L L D L L	0.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.00	2.75	3.20
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.60
Conceded	2.22	1.75	2.60
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-1

Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.11
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	5.00	4.60	5.50
Scored	1.22	1.20	1.25
Conceded	3.78	3.40	4.25
BTTS	89%	80%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.33
Home	D L L L	0.25
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.22	4.00	2.60
Scored	0.67	0.50	0.80
Conceded	2.56	3.50	1.80
BTTS	44%	25%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if The New Saints FC's xG was 0.95 and Connah's Quay Nomads FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Connah's Quay Nomads FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be The New Saints FC with 25 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.11
Home	L W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	3.22	3.40	3.00
Scored	2.44	2.80	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.60	1.00
BTTS	56%	40%	75%
CS	44%	60%	25%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W W	1.67
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	L W L D W	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	2.50	3.40
Scored	1.78	1.50	2.00
Conceded	1.22	1.00	1.40
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.75
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
AVG	3.63	4.75	2.50
Scored	2.38	2.75	2.00
Conceded	1.25	2.00	0.50
BTTS	38%	50%	25%
CS	38%	25%	50%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L L	1.33
Home	L W W L	1.50
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	3.50	2.60
Scored	1.44	2.00	1.00
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.60
BTTS	22%	25%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.78
Home	W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	100%	20%
AVG	3.00	2.00	3.80
Scored	1.67	1.75	1.60
Conceded	1.33	0.25	2.20
BTTS	33%	25%	40%
CS	44%	75%	20%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.44
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	78%	80%	75%
AVG	3.78	3.80	3.75
Scored	2.56	2.60	2.50
Conceded	1.22	1.20	1.25
BTTS	78%	80%	75%
CS	11%	20%	0%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	0.88
Home	L L L W W	1.20
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	40%	0%
AVG	2.50	2.80	2.00
Scored	0.75	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.75	1.80	1.67
BTTS	38%	40%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	2.11
Home	L W L W	1.50
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	50%	80%
AVG	3.78	3.50	4.00
Scored	2.67	2.25	3.00
Conceded	1.11	1.25	1.00
BTTS	56%	50%	60%
CS	44%	50%	40%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.78
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	22%	33%	17%
AVG	2.89	3.33	2.67
Scored	0.89	1.00	0.83
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.83
BTTS	56%	67%	50%
CS	11%	0%	17%

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Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	2.33
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	2.44	2.20	2.75
Scored	1.67	1.40	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.80	0.75
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	44%	40%	50%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.22
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.89	2.60	3.25
Scored	0.33	0.20	0.50
Conceded	2.56	2.40	2.75
BTTS	33%	20%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.22
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L L D L L	0.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.00	2.75	3.20
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.60
Conceded	2.22	1.75	2.60
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.11
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	5.00	4.60	5.50
Scored	1.22	1.20	1.25
Conceded	3.78	3.40	4.25
BTTS	89%	80%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.33
Home	D L L L	0.25
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.22	4.00	2.60
Scored	0.67	0.50	0.80
Conceded	2.56	3.50	1.80
BTTS	44%	25%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Away Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W D	2.11
Home	L W L W	1.50
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	50%	80%
AVG	3.78	3.50	4.00
Scored	2.67	2.25	3.00
Conceded	1.11	1.25	1.00
BTTS	56%	50%	60%
CS	44%	50%	40%

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The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.11
Home	L W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	3.22	3.40	3.00
Scored	2.44	2.80	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.60	1.00
BTTS	56%	40%	75%
CS	44%	60%	25%

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Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	2.33
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	67%	60%	75%
AVG	2.44	2.20	2.75
Scored	1.67	1.40	2.00
Conceded	0.78	0.80	0.75
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	44%	40%	50%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.78
Home	W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	100%	20%
AVG	3.00	2.00	3.80
Scored	1.67	1.75	1.60
Conceded	1.33	0.25	2.20
BTTS	33%	25%	40%
CS	44%	75%	20%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W W	1.67
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	L W L D W	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	2.50	3.40
Scored	1.78	1.50	2.00
Conceded	1.22	1.00	1.40
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D D	1.75
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	50%	50%
AVG	3.63	4.75	2.50
Scored	2.38	2.75	2.00
Conceded	1.25	2.00	0.50
BTTS	38%	50%	25%
CS	38%	25%	50%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L W D	2.44
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	78%	80%	75%
AVG	3.78	3.80	3.75
Scored	2.56	2.60	2.50
Conceded	1.22	1.20	1.25
BTTS	78%	80%	75%
CS	11%	20%	0%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.78
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	22%	33%	17%
AVG	2.89	3.33	2.67
Scored	0.89	1.00	0.83
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.83
BTTS	56%	67%	50%
CS	11%	0%	17%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L L	1.33
Home	L W W L	1.50
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.00	3.50	2.60
Scored	1.44	2.00	1.00
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.60
BTTS	22%	25%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.22
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.89	2.60	3.25
Scored	0.33	0.20	0.50
Conceded	2.56	2.40	2.75
BTTS	33%	20%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.22
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L L D L L	0.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.00	2.75	3.20
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.60
Conceded	2.22	1.75	2.60
BTTS	56%	75%	40%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	0.88
Home	L L L W W	1.20
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	25%	40%	0%
AVG	2.50	2.80	2.00
Scored	0.75	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.75	1.80	1.67
BTTS	38%	40%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.11
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	5.00	4.60	5.50
Scored	1.22	1.20	1.25
Conceded	3.78	3.40	4.25
BTTS	89%	80%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.33
Home	D L L L	0.25
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.22	4.00	2.60
Scored	0.67	0.50	0.80
Conceded	2.56	3.50	1.80
BTTS	44%	25%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Wales

Welsh Premier League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

FAW Championship South Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

FAW Championship North Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Welsh Premier Womens League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Welsh Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

FAW Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

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