Expected Points - Wales Welsh Premier League

Nation

Wales

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2026/27

Matches

78/240 Played

Progress

33% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L W W	2.20
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.30	2.50	2.00
Conceded	0.70	0.50	1.00
BTTS	50%	33%	75%
CS	50%	67%	25%

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-4

The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	1.90
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	20%
AVG	3.40	3.00	3.80
Scored	2.00	2.40	1.60
Conceded	1.40	0.60	2.20
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	40%	60%	20%

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-1

Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.20
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	4.40	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.30	3.60	3.00
Conceded	1.10	1.20	1.00
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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-3

Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.40
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	2.80	2.20	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.40	2.60
Conceded	0.80	0.80	0.80
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.50
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
AVG	3.70	2.50	4.50
Scored	1.70	1.50	1.83
Conceded	2.00	1.00	2.67
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	30%	25%	33%

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-1

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D L	1.56
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.33	4.75	2.20
Scored	2.11	2.75	1.60
Conceded	1.22	2.00	0.60
BTTS	33%	50%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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-2

Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L W	1.50
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
AVG	3.20	3.80	2.60
Scored	1.70	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.50	1.40	1.60
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	2.20
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	80%	60%
AVG	4.10	3.80	4.40
Scored	2.50	2.60	2.40
Conceded	1.60	1.20	2.00
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	10%	20%	0%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.80
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	17%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.83
Conceded	1.90	2.00	1.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	10%	0%	17%

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-4

Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.11
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	50%	0%
AVG	2.33	2.50	2.00
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.67
BTTS	33%	33%	33%
CS	11%	17%	0%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.30
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.80	2.60	3.00
Scored	0.40	0.20	0.60
Conceded	2.40	2.40	2.40
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-2

Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.20
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.20	2.75	3.50
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.67
Conceded	2.40	1.75	2.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-1

Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.10
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.60	4.60	4.60
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	3.50	3.40	3.60
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D L	0.30
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.50	4.40	2.60
Scored	0.70	0.60	0.80
Conceded	2.80	3.80	1.80
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Connah's Quay Nomads FC's xG was 0.95 and The New Saints FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for The New Saints FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Connah's Quay Nomads FC with 26 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L W W	2.20
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.30	2.50	2.00
Conceded	0.70	0.50	1.00
BTTS	50%	33%	75%
CS	50%	67%	25%

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The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L W	1.50
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
AVG	3.20	3.80	2.60
Scored	1.70	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.50	1.40	1.60
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	1.90
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	20%
AVG	3.40	3.00	3.80
Scored	2.00	2.40	1.60
Conceded	1.40	0.60	2.20
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	40%	60%	20%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.50
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
AVG	3.70	2.50	4.50
Scored	1.70	1.50	1.83
Conceded	2.00	1.00	2.67
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	30%	25%	33%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D L	1.56
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.33	4.75	2.20
Scored	2.11	2.75	1.60
Conceded	1.22	2.00	0.60
BTTS	33%	50%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.11
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	50%	0%
AVG	2.33	2.50	2.00
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.67
BTTS	33%	33%	33%
CS	11%	17%	0%

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Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.20
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	4.40	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.30	3.60	3.00
Conceded	1.10	1.20	1.00
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.80
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	17%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.83
Conceded	1.90	2.00	1.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	10%	0%	17%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	2.20
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	80%	60%
AVG	4.10	3.80	4.40
Scored	2.50	2.60	2.40
Conceded	1.60	1.20	2.00
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	10%	20%	0%

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Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.40
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	2.80	2.20	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.40	2.60
Conceded	0.80	0.80	0.80
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.30
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.80	2.60	3.00
Scored	0.40	0.20	0.60
Conceded	2.40	2.40	2.40
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.20
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.20	2.75	3.50
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.67
Conceded	2.40	1.75	2.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.10
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.60	4.60	4.60
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	3.50	3.40	3.60
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D L	0.30
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.50	4.40	2.60
Scored	0.70	0.60	0.80
Conceded	2.80	3.80	1.80
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Away Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.40
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	2.80	2.20	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.40	2.60
Conceded	0.80	0.80	0.80
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.20
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W W D	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	60%	80%
AVG	4.40	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.30	3.60	3.00
Conceded	1.10	1.20	1.00
BTTS	60%	60%	60%
CS	40%	40%	40%

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Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L W W	2.20
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	67%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.30	2.50	2.00
Conceded	0.70	0.50	1.00
BTTS	50%	33%	75%
CS	50%	67%	25%

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The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.78
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	89%	100%	75%
AVG	3.00	3.00	3.00
Scored	2.67	2.80	2.50
Conceded	0.33	0.20	0.50
BTTS	22%	20%	25%
CS	78%	80%	75%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W W W	1.90
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	20%
AVG	3.40	3.00	3.80
Scored	2.00	2.40	1.60
Conceded	1.40	0.60	2.20
BTTS	40%	40%	40%
CS	40%	60%	20%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W L D	1.78
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W L L L	0.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	80%	25%
AVG	3.22	3.00	3.50
Scored	1.89	2.20	1.50
Conceded	1.33	0.80	2.00
BTTS	56%	60%	50%
CS	33%	40%	25%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W L	1.50
Home	D W D W	2.00
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	50%	33%
AVG	3.70	2.50	4.50
Scored	1.70	1.50	1.83
Conceded	2.00	1.00	2.67
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	30%	25%	33%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D D L	1.56
Home	W L W D	1.75
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	40%
AVG	3.33	4.75	2.20
Scored	2.11	2.75	1.60
Conceded	1.22	2.00	0.60
BTTS	33%	50%	20%
CS	33%	25%	40%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	2.20
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	70%	80%	60%
AVG	4.10	3.80	4.40
Scored	2.50	2.60	2.40
Conceded	1.60	1.20	2.00
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	10%	20%	0%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L D	0.80
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	L W L L L	0.67

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	17%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	0.90	1.00	0.83
Conceded	1.90	2.00	1.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	10%	0%	17%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L W	1.50
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	W L L W L	1.20

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	60%	40%
AVG	3.20	3.80	2.60
Scored	1.70	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.50	1.40	1.60
BTTS	30%	40%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L D	0.30
Home	L L D L L	0.20
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.80	2.60	3.00
Scored	0.40	0.20	0.60
Conceded	2.40	2.40	2.40
BTTS	40%	20%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.20
Home	L L L D	0.25
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.20	2.75	3.50
Scored	0.80	1.00	0.67
Conceded	2.40	1.75	2.83
BTTS	60%	75%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.11
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	50%	0%
AVG	2.33	2.50	2.00
Scored	0.78	1.00	0.33
Conceded	1.56	1.50	1.67
BTTS	33%	33%	33%
CS	11%	17%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.10
Home	L L L D L	0.20
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.60	4.60	4.60
Scored	1.10	1.20	1.00
Conceded	3.50	3.40	3.60
BTTS	80%	80%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D L	0.30
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L L D L D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.50	4.40	2.60
Scored	0.70	0.60	0.80
Conceded	2.80	3.80	1.80
BTTS	50%	40%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Wales

Welsh Premier League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

FAW Championship South Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

FAW Championship North Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Welsh Premier Womens League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Welsh Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

FAW Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

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