Expected Points - Wales Welsh Premier League

Nation

Wales

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2026/27

Matches

87/240 Played

Progress

36% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.27
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	3.18	3.00	3.40
Scored	2.45	2.50	2.40
Conceded	0.73	0.50	1.00
BTTS	55%	33%	80%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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-4

The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.82
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	91%	100%	80%
AVG	3.09	3.00	3.20
Scored	2.64	2.67	2.60
Conceded	0.45	0.33	0.60
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	64%	67%	60%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W W	2.00
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	100%	20%
AVG	3.18	2.67	3.80
Scored	1.91	2.17	1.60
Conceded	1.27	0.50	2.20
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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-1

Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D W D	2.09
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W D D	2.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	60%	67%
AVG	4.36	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.18	3.60	2.83
Conceded	1.18	1.20	1.17
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	36%	40%	33%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.45
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	L L L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	80%	17%
AVG	3.55	3.00	4.00
Scored	1.91	2.20	1.67
Conceded	1.64	0.80	2.33
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	27%	40%	17%

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-5

Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.45
Home	W D W W W	2.33
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	2.82	2.33	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.50	2.60
Conceded	0.82	0.83	0.80
BTTS	64%	67%	60%
CS	36%	33%	40%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	1.64
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.40	4.50
Scored	1.91	2.00	1.83
Conceded	2.09	1.40	2.67
BTTS	64%	80%	50%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W L	1.36
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	L L W L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	3.18	3.80	2.67
Scored	1.64	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.55	1.40	1.67
BTTS	36%	40%	33%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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-1

Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D L D	1.50
Home	W L W D D	1.60
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	3.40	4.60	2.20
Scored	2.10	2.60	1.60
Conceded	1.30	2.00	0.60
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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-1

Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D D	0.82
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	W L L L D	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	25%	14%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.57
Scored	0.91	1.00	0.86
Conceded	1.82	2.00	1.71
BTTS	64%	75%	57%
CS	9%	0%	14%

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-6

Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	2.00
Home	W W W D L	2.17
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	67%	60%
AVG	4.18	4.00	4.40
Scored	2.36	2.33	2.40
Conceded	1.82	1.67	2.00
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	9%	17%	0%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.00
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D L	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	0%
AVG	2.20	2.50	1.75
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.25
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	30%	33%	25%
CS	10%	17%	0%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.45
Home	L L L D W	0.80
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	20%	0%
AVG	3.18	2.80	3.50
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.67
Conceded	2.18	1.40	2.83
BTTS	55%	60%	50%
CS	9%	20%	0%

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-1

Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.27
Home	L D L L L	0.17
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.91	2.83	3.00
Scored	0.45	0.33	0.60
Conceded	2.45	2.50	2.40
BTTS	45%	33%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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-2

Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.18
Home	L L D L D	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.36	4.17	4.60
Scored	1.09	1.17	1.00
Conceded	3.27	3.00	3.60
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.27
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L D L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.45	4.40	2.67
Scored	0.64	0.60	0.67
Conceded	2.82	3.80	2.00
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Connah's Quay Nomads FC's xG was 0.95 and The New Saints FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for The New Saints FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Connah's Quay Nomads FC with 29 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.27
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	3.18	3.00	3.40
Scored	2.45	2.50	2.40
Conceded	0.73	0.50	1.00
BTTS	55%	33%	80%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.82
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	91%	100%	80%
AVG	3.09	3.00	3.20
Scored	2.64	2.67	2.60
Conceded	0.45	0.33	0.60
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	64%	67%	60%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W W	2.00
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	100%	20%
AVG	3.18	2.67	3.80
Scored	1.91	2.17	1.60
Conceded	1.27	0.50	2.20
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W L	1.36
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	L L W L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	3.18	3.80	2.67
Scored	1.64	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.55	1.40	1.67
BTTS	36%	40%	33%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.45
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	L L L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	80%	17%
AVG	3.55	3.00	4.00
Scored	1.91	2.20	1.67
Conceded	1.64	0.80	2.33
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	27%	40%	17%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	1.64
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.40	4.50
Scored	1.91	2.00	1.83
Conceded	2.09	1.40	2.67
BTTS	64%	80%	50%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D L D	1.50
Home	W L W D D	1.60
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	3.40	4.60	2.20
Scored	2.10	2.60	1.60
Conceded	1.30	2.00	0.60
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.00
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D L	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	0%
AVG	2.20	2.50	1.75
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.25
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	30%	33%	25%
CS	10%	17%	0%

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Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D W D	2.09
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W D D	2.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	60%	67%
AVG	4.36	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.18	3.60	2.83
Conceded	1.18	1.20	1.17
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	36%	40%	33%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D D	0.82
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	W L L L D	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	25%	14%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.57
Scored	0.91	1.00	0.86
Conceded	1.82	2.00	1.71
BTTS	64%	75%	57%
CS	9%	0%	14%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	2.00
Home	W W W D L	2.17
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	67%	60%
AVG	4.18	4.00	4.40
Scored	2.36	2.33	2.40
Conceded	1.82	1.67	2.00
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	9%	17%	0%

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Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.45
Home	W D W W W	2.33
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	2.82	2.33	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.50	2.60
Conceded	0.82	0.83	0.80
BTTS	64%	67%	60%
CS	36%	33%	40%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.45
Home	L L L D W	0.80
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	20%	0%
AVG	3.18	2.80	3.50
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.67
Conceded	2.18	1.40	2.83
BTTS	55%	60%	50%
CS	9%	20%	0%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.27
Home	L D L L L	0.17
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.91	2.83	3.00
Scored	0.45	0.33	0.60
Conceded	2.45	2.50	2.40
BTTS	45%	33%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.18
Home	L L D L D	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.36	4.17	4.60
Scored	1.09	1.17	1.00
Conceded	3.27	3.00	3.60
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.27
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L D L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.45	4.40	2.67
Scored	0.64	0.60	0.67
Conceded	2.82	3.80	2.00
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Away Expected Points - Welsh Premier League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Caernarfon Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D W D	2.09
Home	L W L W W	1.80
Away	W W W D D	2.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	60%	67%
AVG	4.36	4.80	4.00
Scored	3.18	3.60	2.83
Conceded	1.18	1.20	1.17
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	36%	40%	33%

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Connah's Quay Nomads FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.27
Home	W W D W W	2.17
Away	W W W L W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	3.18	3.00	3.40
Scored	2.45	2.50	2.40
Conceded	0.73	0.50	1.00
BTTS	55%	33%	80%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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The New Saints FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.82
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D W W W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	91%	100%	80%
AVG	3.09	3.00	3.20
Scored	2.64	2.67	2.60
Conceded	0.45	0.33	0.60
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	64%	67%	60%

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Penybont FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.45
Home	W D W W W	2.33
Away	W W D W W	2.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	67%	80%
AVG	2.82	2.33	3.40
Scored	2.00	1.50	2.60
Conceded	0.82	0.83	0.80
BTTS	64%	67%	60%
CS	36%	33%	40%

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Llandudno FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.45
Home	W W W W D	2.60
Away	L L L L L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	80%	17%
AVG	3.55	3.00	4.00
Scored	1.91	2.20	1.67
Conceded	1.64	0.80	2.33
BTTS	64%	60%	67%
CS	27%	40%	17%

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Colwyn Bay FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W W W	2.00
Home	W W W W W	3.00
Away	D L L L W	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	100%	20%
AVG	3.18	2.67	3.80
Scored	1.91	2.17	1.60
Conceded	1.27	0.50	2.20
BTTS	36%	33%	40%
CS	45%	67%	20%

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Cambrian & Clydach Vale FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L W	1.64
Home	D W D W W	2.20
Away	W L D W L	1.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.40	4.50
Scored	1.91	2.00	1.83
Conceded	2.09	1.40	2.67
BTTS	64%	80%	50%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Cardiff Metropolitan University FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D L D	1.50
Home	W L W D D	1.60
Away	W L W D L	1.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG	3.40	4.60	2.20
Scored	2.10	2.60	1.60
Conceded	1.30	2.00	0.60
BTTS	40%	60%	20%
CS	30%	20%	40%

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Briton Ferry Llansawel AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D D	0.82
Home	W L L D	1.00
Away	W L L L D	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	25%	14%
AVG	2.73	3.00	2.57
Scored	0.91	1.00	0.86
Conceded	1.82	2.00	1.71
BTTS	64%	75%	57%
CS	9%	0%	14%

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Barry Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	2.00
Home	W W W D L	2.17
Away	W W W L L	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	67%	60%
AVG	4.18	4.00	4.40
Scored	2.36	2.33	2.40
Conceded	1.82	1.67	2.00
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	9%	17%	0%

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Airbus UK FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W L	1.36
Home	L W W L W	1.80
Away	L L W L L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	60%	33%
AVG	3.18	3.80	2.67
Scored	1.64	2.40	1.00
Conceded	1.55	1.40	1.67
BTTS	36%	40%	33%
CS	27%	20%	33%

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Flint Town United FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L W	0.45
Home	L L L D W	0.80
Away	L D L L L	0.17

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	9%	20%	0%
AVG	3.18	2.80	3.50
Scored	1.00	1.40	0.67
Conceded	2.18	1.40	2.83
BTTS	55%	60%	50%
CS	9%	20%	0%

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Trefelin

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L D L	0.27
Home	L D L L L	0.17
Away	L L L D D	0.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	2.91	2.83	3.00
Scored	0.45	0.33	0.60
Conceded	2.45	2.50	2.40
BTTS	45%	33%	60%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Haverfordwest County AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.00
Home	L L W W W	1.50
Away	L L D L	0.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	50%	0%
AVG	2.20	2.50	1.75
Scored	0.70	1.00	0.25
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	30%	33%	25%
CS	10%	17%	0%

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Holywell Town FC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L D	0.18
Home	L L D L D	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.36	4.17	4.60
Scored	1.09	1.17	1.00
Conceded	3.27	3.00	3.60
BTTS	82%	83%	80%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Ammanford AFC

Welsh Premier League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Wales

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L L	0.27
Home	D L L L L	0.20
Away	L D L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	3.45	4.40	2.67
Scored	0.64	0.60	0.67
Conceded	2.82	3.80	2.00
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Wales - Welsh Premier League 2026/27 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Wales

Welsh Premier League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

FAW Championship South Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

FAW Championship North Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Welsh Premier Womens League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

League Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Welsh Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

FAW Championship Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

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