Expected Points - Croatia Prva HNL
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Expected Points (xPts) - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | -3 |
| 2 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -5 |
| 4 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -2 |
| 5 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +7 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 9 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | +6 |
Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if HNK Hajduk Split's xG was 0.95 and NK Osijek's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for NK Osijek.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be HNK Hajduk Split with 13 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 2 |
| 2 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 1 |
| 3 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Home Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 2 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 5 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
Away Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Croatia
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
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