Expected Points - Croatia Prva HNL

Nation

Croatia

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

165/180 Played

Progress

92% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Prva HNL

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W W	2.39
Home	W W W D W	2.56
Away	W W W W W	2.24

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	76%	81%	71%
AVG	3.45	3.88	3.06
Scored	2.64	2.94	2.35
Conceded	0.82	0.94	0.71
BTTS	55%	69%	41%
CS	42%	31%	53%

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-1

HNK Hajduk Split

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L D W	1.94
Home	L W W L W	2.06
Away	D W W D D	1.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	65%	50%
AVG	2.55	2.47	2.63
Scored	1.64	1.59	1.69
Conceded	0.91	0.88	0.94
BTTS	42%	47%	38%
CS	42%	41%	44%

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-4

HNK Rijeka

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.39
Home	W W L L D	1.63
Away	L W D L W	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	44%	29%
AVG	2.42	2.44	2.41
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.09	0.94	1.24
BTTS	42%	38%	47%
CS	33%	44%	24%

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-8

NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D L	1.15
Home	W D L D D	1.63
Away	D L L L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	44%	12%
AVG	3.00	2.81	3.18
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.67	1.31	2.00
BTTS	70%	63%	76%
CS	15%	25%	6%

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-13

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W D L	1.24
Home	D L W W L	1.65
Away	L L D W D	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	47%	13%
AVG	2.67	2.76	2.56
Scored	1.15	1.35	0.94
Conceded	1.52	1.41	1.63
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	18%	24%	13%

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NK Varaždin

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.42
Home	D W D W W	1.81
Away	D L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	50%	29%
AVG	2.64	2.69	2.59
Scored	1.27	1.44	1.12
Conceded	1.36	1.25	1.47
BTTS	64%	63%	65%
CS	24%	31%	18%

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+12

NK Osijek

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	0.97
Home	L W D L D	1.00
Away	D L W W L	0.94

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	19%	24%
AVG	2.15	1.75	2.53
Scored	0.76	0.63	0.88
Conceded	1.39	1.13	1.65
BTTS	33%	19%	47%
CS	42%	50%	35%

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-3

HNK Gorica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W L	1.15
Home	D W L W L	1.24
Away	L D D L W	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	35%	25%
AVG	2.52	2.59	2.44
Scored	1.15	1.24	1.06
Conceded	1.36	1.35	1.38
BTTS	55%	53%	56%
CS	21%	29%	13%

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HNK Vukovar 1991

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	0.85
Home	L D L L W	1.24
Away	D L L W D	0.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	29%	6%
AVG	2.91	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.03	1.29	0.75
Conceded	1.88	1.71	2.06
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	12%	18%	6%

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NK Istra 1961

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	1.18
Home	W L L L W	1.29
Away	L L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	35%	31%
AVG	2.61	2.53	2.69
Scored	1.15	1.12	1.19
Conceded	1.45	1.41	1.50
BTTS	58%	65%	50%
CS	12%	12%	13%

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+18

Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if GNK Dinamo Zagreb's xG was 0.95 and HNK Hajduk Split's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for HNK Hajduk Split.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be GNK Dinamo Zagreb with 80 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Prva HNL

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W W	2.39
Home	W W W D W	2.56
Away	W W W W W	2.24

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	76%	81%	71%
AVG	3.45	3.88	3.06
Scored	2.64	2.94	2.35
Conceded	0.82	0.94	0.71
BTTS	55%	69%	41%
CS	42%	31%	53%

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HNK Hajduk Split

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L D W	1.94
Home	L W W L W	2.06
Away	D W W D D	1.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	65%	50%
AVG	2.55	2.47	2.63
Scored	1.64	1.59	1.69
Conceded	0.91	0.88	0.94
BTTS	42%	47%	38%
CS	42%	41%	44%

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HNK Rijeka

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.39
Home	W W L L D	1.63
Away	L W D L W	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	44%	29%
AVG	2.42	2.44	2.41
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.09	0.94	1.24
BTTS	42%	38%	47%
CS	33%	44%	24%

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NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D L	1.15
Home	W D L D D	1.63
Away	D L L L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	44%	12%
AVG	3.00	2.81	3.18
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.67	1.31	2.00
BTTS	70%	63%	76%
CS	15%	25%	6%

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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W D L	1.24
Home	D L W W L	1.65
Away	L L D W D	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	47%	13%
AVG	2.67	2.76	2.56
Scored	1.15	1.35	0.94
Conceded	1.52	1.41	1.63
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	18%	24%	13%

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NK Varaždin

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.42
Home	D W D W W	1.81
Away	D L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	50%	29%
AVG	2.64	2.69	2.59
Scored	1.27	1.44	1.12
Conceded	1.36	1.25	1.47
BTTS	64%	63%	65%
CS	24%	31%	18%

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NK Osijek

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	0.97
Home	L W D L D	1.00
Away	D L W W L	0.94

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	19%	24%
AVG	2.15	1.75	2.53
Scored	0.76	0.63	0.88
Conceded	1.39	1.13	1.65
BTTS	33%	19%	47%
CS	42%	50%	35%

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HNK Gorica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W L	1.15
Home	D W L W L	1.24
Away	L D D L W	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	35%	25%
AVG	2.52	2.59	2.44
Scored	1.15	1.24	1.06
Conceded	1.36	1.35	1.38
BTTS	55%	53%	56%
CS	21%	29%	13%

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HNK Vukovar 1991

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	0.85
Home	L D L L W	1.24
Away	D L L W D	0.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	29%	6%
AVG	2.91	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.03	1.29	0.75
Conceded	1.88	1.71	2.06
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	12%	18%	6%

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NK Istra 1961

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	1.18
Home	W L L L W	1.29
Away	L L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	35%	31%
AVG	2.61	2.53	2.69
Scored	1.15	1.12	1.19
Conceded	1.45	1.41	1.50
BTTS	58%	65%	50%
CS	12%	12%	13%

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Home Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Prva HNL

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W W	2.39
Home	W W W D W	2.56
Away	W W W W W	2.24

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	76%	81%	71%
AVG	3.45	3.88	3.06
Scored	2.64	2.94	2.35
Conceded	0.82	0.94	0.71
BTTS	55%	69%	41%
CS	42%	31%	53%

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HNK Hajduk Split

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L D W	1.94
Home	L W W L W	2.06
Away	D W W D D	1.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	65%	50%
AVG	2.55	2.47	2.63
Scored	1.64	1.59	1.69
Conceded	0.91	0.88	0.94
BTTS	42%	47%	38%
CS	42%	41%	44%

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HNK Rijeka

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.39
Home	W W L L D	1.63
Away	L W D L W	1.18

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	44%	29%
AVG	2.42	2.44	2.41
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.09	0.94	1.24
BTTS	42%	38%	47%
CS	33%	44%	24%

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HNK Gorica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W L	1.15
Home	D W L W L	1.24
Away	L D D L W	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	35%	25%
AVG	2.52	2.59	2.44
Scored	1.15	1.24	1.06
Conceded	1.36	1.35	1.38
BTTS	55%	53%	56%
CS	21%	29%	13%

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NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D L	1.15
Home	W D L D D	1.63
Away	D L L L L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	44%	12%
AVG	3.00	2.81	3.18
Scored	1.33	1.50	1.18
Conceded	1.67	1.31	2.00
BTTS	70%	63%	76%
CS	15%	25%	6%

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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W D L	1.24
Home	D L W W L	1.65
Away	L L D W D	0.81

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	47%	13%
AVG	2.67	2.76	2.56
Scored	1.15	1.35	0.94
Conceded	1.52	1.41	1.63
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	18%	24%	13%

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NK Varaždin

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L L	1.42
Home	D W D W W	1.81
Away	D L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	39%	50%	29%
AVG	2.64	2.69	2.59
Scored	1.27	1.44	1.12
Conceded	1.36	1.25	1.47
BTTS	64%	63%	65%
CS	24%	31%	18%

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NK Osijek

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L W D L	0.97
Home	L W D L D	1.00
Away	D L W W L	0.94

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	19%	24%
AVG	2.15	1.75	2.53
Scored	0.76	0.63	0.88
Conceded	1.39	1.13	1.65
BTTS	33%	19%	47%
CS	42%	50%	35%

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NK Istra 1961

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L W	1.18
Home	W L L L W	1.29
Away	L L W L L	1.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	35%	31%
AVG	2.61	2.53	2.69
Scored	1.15	1.12	1.19
Conceded	1.45	1.41	1.50
BTTS	58%	65%	50%
CS	12%	12%	13%

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HNK Vukovar 1991

Prva HNL (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Croatia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	0.85
Home	L D L L W	1.24
Away	D L L W D	0.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	29%	6%
AVG	2.91	3.00	2.81
Scored	1.03	1.29	0.75
Conceded	1.88	1.71	2.06
BTTS	64%	65%	63%
CS	12%	18%	6%

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Away Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Croatia

Prva HNL Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Druga HNL Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

HNL Play-offs 1/2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

3. HNL West Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

3. HNL South Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

3. HNL East Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Croatian Football Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

First League Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

3. HNL North Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

3. HNL Center Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Super Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Second NL Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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