Expected Points - Croatia Prva HNL
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Expected Points (xPts) - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -3 |
| 2 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | -5 |
| 3 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 4 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 5 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +7 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 |
| 9 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | +6 |
Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if HNK Hajduk Split's xG was 0.95 and HNK Rijeka's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for HNK Rijeka.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be HNK Hajduk Split with 16 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 1 |
| 2 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 2 |
| 3 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 4 |
| 4 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 5 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Home Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - Prva HNL
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 3 |
| 2 | ![]() | HNK Rijeka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | ![]() | NK Osijek | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
| 4 | ![]() | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 5 | ![]() | HNK Gorica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | ![]() | NK Varaždin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 7 | ![]() | NK Rudeš | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | ![]() | NK Slaven Belupo Koprivnica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | ![]() | NK Istra 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | ![]() | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 11 |
Away Expected Points Table for Croatia - Prva HNL 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Croatia
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
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