Expected Points - Estonia Esiliiga

Nation

Estonia

Division

2nd

Teams

Season

2026

Matches

25/180 Played

Progress

14% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	W W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	5.20	4.50	5.67
Scored	4.40	4.00	4.67
Conceded	0.80	0.50	1.00
BTTS	80%	50%	100%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W L	2.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	D W L	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	33%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	1.80	2.00	1.67
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	40%	50%	33%

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Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.60
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	3.40	2.33	5.00
Scored	1.40	1.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	1.33	3.00
BTTS	60%	33%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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-5

Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.40
Home	W W L	2.00
Away	D L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	67%	0%
AVG	2.00	3.00	0.50
Scored	1.00	1.67	0.00
Conceded	1.00	1.33	0.50
BTTS	40%	67%	0%
CS	40%	33%	50%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	1.40
Home	W W	3.00
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	100%	0%
AVG	3.20	4.50	2.33
Scored	1.60	3.50	0.33
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.00
BTTS	60%	100%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.00
Home	W D L	1.33
Away	W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	33%	100%
AVG	3.60	4.33	2.50
Scored	2.20	2.33	2.00
Conceded	1.40	2.00	0.50
BTTS	80%	100%	50%
CS	20%	0%	50%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.80
Home	L W W	2.00
Away	L W	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	67%	50%
AVG	4.60	5.33	3.50
Scored	2.60	3.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.00
Home	D W	2.00
Away	L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
AVG	5.20	5.50	5.00
Scored	2.00	3.50	1.00
Conceded	3.20	2.00	4.00
BTTS	80%	100%	67%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.20
Home	D L	0.50
Away	L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.00	5.00
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	3.20	2.50	3.67
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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-2

Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D W	0.80
Home	L D W	1.33
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.33	5.50
Scored	1.20	1.33	1.00
Conceded	3.00	2.00	4.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Tartu JK Welco's xG was 0.95 and FC Elva's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Elva.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Tartu JK Welco with 13 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.60
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	3.40	2.33	5.00
Scored	1.40	1.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	1.33	3.00
BTTS	60%	33%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.40
Home	W W L	2.00
Away	D L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	67%	0%
AVG	2.00	3.00	0.50
Scored	1.00	1.67	0.00
Conceded	1.00	1.33	0.50
BTTS	40%	67%	0%
CS	40%	33%	50%

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Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	W W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	5.20	4.50	5.67
Scored	4.40	4.00	4.67
Conceded	0.80	0.50	1.00
BTTS	80%	50%	100%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W L	2.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	D W L	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	33%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	1.80	2.00	1.67
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	40%	50%	33%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	1.40
Home	W W	3.00
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	100%	0%
AVG	3.20	4.50	2.33
Scored	1.60	3.50	0.33
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.00
BTTS	60%	100%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.00
Home	W D L	1.33
Away	W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	33%	100%
AVG	3.60	4.33	2.50
Scored	2.20	2.33	2.00
Conceded	1.40	2.00	0.50
BTTS	80%	100%	50%
CS	20%	0%	50%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.80
Home	L W W	2.00
Away	L W	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	67%	50%
AVG	4.60	5.33	3.50
Scored	2.60	3.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.00
Home	D W	2.00
Away	L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
AVG	5.20	5.50	5.00
Scored	2.00	3.50	1.00
Conceded	3.20	2.00	4.00
BTTS	80%	100%	67%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.20
Home	D L	0.50
Away	L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.00	5.00
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	3.20	2.50	3.67
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D W	0.80
Home	L D W	1.33
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.33	5.50
Scored	1.20	1.33	1.00
Conceded	3.00	2.00	4.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Away Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	3.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	W W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	100%	100%	100%
AVG	5.20	4.50	5.67
Scored	4.40	4.00	4.67
Conceded	0.80	0.50	1.00
BTTS	80%	50%	100%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W L	2.00
Home	W W	3.00
Away	D W L	1.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	100%	33%
AVG	2.80	3.00	2.67
Scored	1.80	2.00	1.67
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	40%	50%	33%

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Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.60
Home	W L L	1.00
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	3.40	2.33	5.00
Scored	1.40	1.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	1.33	3.00
BTTS	60%	33%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L D W	1.40
Home	W W	3.00
Away	L L D	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	100%	0%
AVG	3.20	4.50	2.33
Scored	1.60	3.50	0.33
Conceded	1.60	1.00	2.00
BTTS	60%	100%	33%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.40
Home	W W L	2.00
Away	D L	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	67%	0%
AVG	2.00	3.00	0.50
Scored	1.00	1.67	0.00
Conceded	1.00	1.33	0.50
BTTS	40%	67%	0%
CS	40%	33%	50%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L L L	0.20
Home	D L	0.50
Away	L L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	0%	0%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.00	5.00
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	3.20	2.50	3.67
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
CS	20%	50%	0%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L W	2.00
Home	W D L	1.33
Away	W W	3.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	33%	100%
AVG	3.60	4.33	2.50
Scored	2.20	2.33	2.00
Conceded	1.40	2.00	0.50
BTTS	80%	100%	50%
CS	20%	0%	50%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W W W	1.80
Home	L W W	2.00
Away	L W	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	67%	50%
AVG	4.60	5.33	3.50
Scored	2.60	3.00	2.00
Conceded	2.00	2.33	1.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	20%	33%	0%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.00
Home	D W	2.00
Away	L D L	0.33

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	50%	0%
AVG	5.20	5.50	5.00
Scored	2.00	3.50	1.00
Conceded	3.20	2.00	4.00
BTTS	80%	100%	67%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L D W	0.80
Home	L D W	1.33
Away	L L	0.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	33%	0%
AVG	4.20	3.33	5.50
Scored	1.20	1.33	1.00
Conceded	3.00	2.00	4.50
BTTS	80%	67%	100%
CS	0%	0%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Estonia

Meistriliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Esiliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Esiliiga B Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Estonian Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

II liiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Super Cup Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Esiliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Meistriliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Womens Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 3 4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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