Expected Points - Estonia Esiliiga
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Expected Points (xPts) - Esiliiga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Tartu JK Welco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Elva | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +2 |
| 3 | ![]() | Viimsi JK | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1 |
| 4 | ![]() | JK Tallinna Kalev | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 5 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Levadia U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 6 | ![]() | FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +3 |
| 7 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Flora U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| 8 | ![]() | Nõmme Kalju FC U21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 9 | ![]() | FC Tallinn | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +3 |
| 10 | ![]() | Maardu Linnameeskond | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Tartu JK Welco's xG was 0.95 and FC Elva's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Elva.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Tartu JK Welco with 10 expected points.
Home Expected Points - Esiliiga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Levadia U21 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | ![]() | Tartu JK Welco | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Elva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Viimsi JK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 5 | ![]() | FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | ![]() | JK Tallinna Kalev | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 7 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Flora U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | ![]() | FC Tallinn | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 9 | ![]() | Nõmme Kalju FC U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | Maardu Linnameeskond | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Home Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.
Away Expected Points - Esiliiga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Tartu JK Welco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Elva | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 3 | ![]() | JK Tallinna Kalev | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | ![]() | Viimsi JK | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | ![]() | Nõmme Kalju FC U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Flora U21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | ![]() | Maardu Linnameeskond | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | ![]() | Tallinna FC Levadia U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | ![]() | FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | FC Tallinn | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
Away Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Estonia
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 2
- Division 1
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
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