Expected Points - Estonia Esiliiga

Nation

Estonia

Division

2nd

Teams

Season

2026

Matches

70/180 Played

Progress

39% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.33
Home	W D D W W	2.43
Away	L W L W W	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	71%	75%
AVG	4.13	5.14	3.25
Scored	2.93	3.57	2.38
Conceded	1.20	1.57	0.88
BTTS	53%	71%	38%
CS	33%	29%	38%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.93
Home	W L W W D	2.17
Away	W D W W L	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	67%	50%
AVG	2.57	3.17	2.13
Scored	1.79	2.17	1.50
Conceded	0.79	1.00	0.63
BTTS	43%	67%	25%
CS	43%	33%	50%

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-1

FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	1.53
Home	L W W L W	1.88
Away	L L D L W	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	63%	29%
AVG	3.67	3.88	3.43
Scored	1.93	2.00	1.86
Conceded	1.73	1.88	1.57
BTTS	67%	63%	71%
CS	20%	25%	14%

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-4

Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.00
Home	L L W L W	1.33
Away	L L L L W	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	44%	17%
AVG	3.67	3.33	4.17
Scored	1.67	1.67	1.67
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.50
BTTS	73%	67%	83%
CS	13%	22%	0%

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-12

Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D D W	1.92
Home	W W L D W	2.00
Away	L W W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	63%	50%
AVG	4.67	4.75	4.50
Scored	2.75	2.75	2.75
Conceded	1.92	2.00	1.75
BTTS	75%	63%	100%
CS	17%	25%	0%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.00
Home	L D W L L	1.43
Away	L W D L L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	43%	13%
AVG	3.73	4.29	3.25
Scored	1.67	2.14	1.25
Conceded	2.07	2.14	2.00
BTTS	67%	71%	63%
CS	13%	14%	13%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	0.93
Home	D W D W L	1.33
Away	D L W D L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	33%	13%
AVG	3.50	2.67	4.13
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	2.29	1.50	2.88
BTTS	71%	67%	75%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	1.08
Home	W L W D L	1.14
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	29%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.14	5.00
Scored	1.54	1.00	2.17
Conceded	2.46	2.14	2.83
BTTS	62%	57%	67%
CS	23%	29%	17%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.50
Home	W D L L W	1.40
Away	W D L D L	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	40%	43%
AVG	3.92	3.40	4.29
Scored	2.00	1.60	2.29
Conceded	1.92	1.80	2.00
BTTS	75%	60%	86%
CS	17%	20%	14%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	0.93
Home	W L D L D	1.29
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	29%	13%
AVG	3.73	3.29	4.13
Scored	1.33	1.71	1.00
Conceded	2.40	1.57	3.13
BTTS	60%	57%	63%
CS	7%	14%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Tartu JK Welco's xG was 0.95 and Viimsi JK's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Viimsi JK.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Tartu JK Welco with 32 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.00
Home	L L W L W	1.33
Away	L L L L W	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	44%	17%
AVG	3.67	3.33	4.17
Scored	1.67	1.67	1.67
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.50
BTTS	73%	67%	83%
CS	13%	22%	0%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	1.53
Home	L W W L W	1.88
Away	L L D L W	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	63%	29%
AVG	3.67	3.88	3.43
Scored	1.93	2.00	1.86
Conceded	1.73	1.88	1.57
BTTS	67%	63%	71%
CS	20%	25%	14%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.93
Home	W L W W D	2.17
Away	W D W W L	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	67%	50%
AVG	2.57	3.17	2.13
Scored	1.79	2.17	1.50
Conceded	0.79	1.00	0.63
BTTS	43%	67%	25%
CS	43%	33%	50%

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Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.33
Home	W D D W W	2.43
Away	L W L W W	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	71%	75%
AVG	4.13	5.14	3.25
Scored	2.93	3.57	2.38
Conceded	1.20	1.57	0.88
BTTS	53%	71%	38%
CS	33%	29%	38%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D D W	1.92
Home	W W L D W	2.00
Away	L W W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	63%	50%
AVG	4.67	4.75	4.50
Scored	2.75	2.75	2.75
Conceded	1.92	2.00	1.75
BTTS	75%	63%	100%
CS	17%	25%	0%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	0.93
Home	D W D W L	1.33
Away	D L W D L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	33%	13%
AVG	3.50	2.67	4.13
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	2.29	1.50	2.88
BTTS	71%	67%	75%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	0.93
Home	W L D L D	1.29
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	29%	13%
AVG	3.73	3.29	4.13
Scored	1.33	1.71	1.00
Conceded	2.40	1.57	3.13
BTTS	60%	57%	63%
CS	7%	14%	0%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.00
Home	L D W L L	1.43
Away	L W D L L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	43%	13%
AVG	3.73	4.29	3.25
Scored	1.67	2.14	1.25
Conceded	2.07	2.14	2.00
BTTS	67%	71%	63%
CS	13%	14%	13%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	1.08
Home	W L W D L	1.14
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	29%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.14	5.00
Scored	1.54	1.00	2.17
Conceded	2.46	2.14	2.83
BTTS	62%	57%	67%
CS	23%	29%	17%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.50
Home	W D L L W	1.40
Away	W D L D L	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	40%	43%
AVG	3.92	3.40	4.29
Scored	2.00	1.60	2.29
Conceded	1.92	1.80	2.00
BTTS	75%	60%	86%
CS	17%	20%	14%

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Home Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Away Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.33
Home	W D D W W	2.43
Away	L W L W W	2.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	73%	71%	75%
AVG	4.13	5.14	3.25
Scored	2.93	3.57	2.38
Conceded	1.20	1.57	0.88
BTTS	53%	71%	38%
CS	33%	29%	38%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W L	1.93
Home	W L W W D	2.17
Away	W D W W L	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	67%	50%
AVG	2.57	3.17	2.13
Scored	1.79	2.17	1.50
Conceded	0.79	1.00	0.63
BTTS	43%	67%	25%
CS	43%	33%	50%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L W	1.53
Home	L W W L W	1.88
Away	L L D L W	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	47%	63%	29%
AVG	3.67	3.88	3.43
Scored	1.93	2.00	1.86
Conceded	1.73	1.88	1.57
BTTS	67%	63%	71%
CS	20%	25%	14%

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Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W L W W	1.00
Home	L L W L W	1.33
Away	L L L L W	0.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	44%	17%
AVG	3.67	3.33	4.17
Scored	1.67	1.67	1.67
Conceded	2.00	1.67	2.50
BTTS	73%	67%	83%
CS	13%	22%	0%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L L	1.00
Home	L D W L L	1.43
Away	L W D L L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	43%	13%
AVG	3.73	4.29	3.25
Scored	1.67	2.14	1.25
Conceded	2.07	2.14	2.00
BTTS	67%	71%	63%
CS	13%	14%	13%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	1.08
Home	W L W D L	1.14
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	29%	33%
AVG	4.00	3.14	5.00
Scored	1.54	1.00	2.17
Conceded	2.46	2.14	2.83
BTTS	62%	57%	67%
CS	23%	29%	17%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	0.93
Home	D W D W L	1.33
Away	D L W D L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	33%	13%
AVG	3.50	2.67	4.13
Scored	1.21	1.17	1.25
Conceded	2.29	1.50	2.88
BTTS	71%	67%	75%
CS	7%	0%	13%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	1.50
Home	W D L L W	1.40
Away	W D L D L	1.57

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	40%	43%
AVG	3.92	3.40	4.29
Scored	2.00	1.60	2.29
Conceded	1.92	1.80	2.00
BTTS	75%	60%	86%
CS	17%	20%	14%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D D W	1.92
Home	W W L D W	2.00
Away	L W W D	1.75

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	63%	50%
AVG	4.67	4.75	4.50
Scored	2.75	2.75	2.75
Conceded	1.92	2.00	1.75
BTTS	75%	63%	100%
CS	17%	25%	0%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W L	0.93
Home	W L D L D	1.29
Away	L D L W L	0.63

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	29%	13%
AVG	3.73	3.29	4.13
Scored	1.33	1.71	1.00
Conceded	2.40	1.57	3.13
BTTS	60%	57%	63%
CS	7%	14%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Estonia

Meistriliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Esiliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Esiliiga B Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Estonian Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

II liiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Super Cup Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Esiliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Meistriliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Womens Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 3 4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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