Expected Points - Estonia Esiliiga

Nation

Estonia

Division

2nd

Teams

Season

2026

Matches

169/180 Played

Progress

94% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W D	1.71
Home	L W L D D	1.56
Away	L W L W W	1.83

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	44%	56%
AVG	2.79	3.25	2.39
Scored	1.82	2.06	1.61
Conceded	0.97	1.19	0.78
BTTS	50%	63%	39%
CS	35%	31%	39%

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-9

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.18
Home	L W W W W	2.29
Away	W D D W W	2.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	71%	65%
AVG	4.21	4.76	3.65
Scored	2.91	3.12	2.71
Conceded	1.29	1.65	0.94
BTTS	62%	71%	53%
CS	29%	24%	35%

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+10

Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.55
Home	D W W D W	1.71
Away	L W W W D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	53%	44%
AVG	3.82	3.47	4.19
Scored	2.03	2.00	2.06
Conceded	1.79	1.47	2.13
BTTS	67%	65%	69%
CS	24%	29%	19%

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-11

FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D D W	1.56
Home	W D W D D	1.69
Away	L W L D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	39%
AVG	3.06	3.00	3.11
Scored	1.56	1.50	1.61
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
CS	29%	31%	28%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W D	1.56
Home	W W L L W	1.75
Away	L W D D D	1.39

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	56%	33%
AVG	3.97	4.25	3.72
Scored	2.26	2.38	2.17
Conceded	1.71	1.88	1.56
BTTS	68%	63%	72%
CS	24%	25%	22%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L W	1.21
Home	D D L L W	1.44
Away	W W L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	39%	27%
AVG	3.70	3.83	3.53
Scored	1.79	2.06	1.47
Conceded	1.91	1.78	2.07
BTTS	76%	83%	67%
CS	12%	11%	13%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	1.41
Home	W W D D L	1.65
Away	W L W D D	1.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	27%
AVG	3.22	2.94	3.53
Scored	1.41	1.29	1.53
Conceded	1.81	1.65	2.00
BTTS	63%	59%	67%
CS	22%	24%	20%

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+11

FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.09
Home	L W W L D	1.29
Away	L L W L L	0.88

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	35%	24%
AVG	3.68	2.65	4.71
Scored	1.62	1.24	2.00
Conceded	2.06	1.41	2.71
BTTS	74%	53%	94%
CS	15%	24%	6%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L W	1.06
Home	D L L L L	1.00
Away	L W D W W	1.12

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	25%	29%
AVG	3.45	3.63	3.29
Scored	1.18	1.25	1.12
Conceded	2.27	2.38	2.18
BTTS	58%	50%	65%
CS	9%	13%	6%

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+11

Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.69
Home	L L L D L	0.72
Away	L L D L L	0.65

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	17%	18%
AVG	3.57	3.67	3.47
Scored	1.14	1.11	1.18
Conceded	2.43	2.56	2.29
BTTS	54%	61%	47%
CS	17%	17%	18%

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Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Viimsi JK's xG was 0.95 and Tartu JK Welco's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Tartu JK Welco.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Viimsi JK with 67 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.55
Home	D W W D W	1.71
Away	L W W W D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	53%	44%
AVG	3.82	3.47	4.19
Scored	2.03	2.00	2.06
Conceded	1.79	1.47	2.13
BTTS	67%	65%	69%
CS	24%	29%	19%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W D	1.71
Home	L W L D D	1.56
Away	L W L W W	1.83

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	44%	56%
AVG	2.79	3.25	2.39
Scored	1.82	2.06	1.61
Conceded	0.97	1.19	0.78
BTTS	50%	63%	39%
CS	35%	31%	39%

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Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.18
Home	L W W W W	2.29
Away	W D D W W	2.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	71%	65%
AVG	4.21	4.76	3.65
Scored	2.91	3.12	2.71
Conceded	1.29	1.65	0.94
BTTS	62%	71%	53%
CS	29%	24%	35%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D D W	1.56
Home	W D W D D	1.69
Away	L W L D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	39%
AVG	3.06	3.00	3.11
Scored	1.56	1.50	1.61
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
CS	29%	31%	28%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W D	1.56
Home	W W L L W	1.75
Away	L W D D D	1.39

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	56%	33%
AVG	3.97	4.25	3.72
Scored	2.26	2.38	2.17
Conceded	1.71	1.88	1.56
BTTS	68%	63%	72%
CS	24%	25%	22%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L W	1.21
Home	D D L L W	1.44
Away	W W L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	39%	27%
AVG	3.70	3.83	3.53
Scored	1.79	2.06	1.47
Conceded	1.91	1.78	2.07
BTTS	76%	83%	67%
CS	12%	11%	13%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	1.41
Home	W W D D L	1.65
Away	W L W D D	1.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	27%
AVG	3.22	2.94	3.53
Scored	1.41	1.29	1.53
Conceded	1.81	1.65	2.00
BTTS	63%	59%	67%
CS	22%	24%	20%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.09
Home	L W W L D	1.29
Away	L L W L L	0.88

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	35%	24%
AVG	3.68	2.65	4.71
Scored	1.62	1.24	2.00
Conceded	2.06	1.41	2.71
BTTS	74%	53%	94%
CS	15%	24%	6%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L W	1.06
Home	D L L L L	1.00
Away	L W D W W	1.12

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	25%	29%
AVG	3.45	3.63	3.29
Scored	1.18	1.25	1.12
Conceded	2.27	2.38	2.18
BTTS	58%	50%	65%
CS	9%	13%	6%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.69
Home	L L L D L	0.72
Away	L L D L L	0.65

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	17%	18%
AVG	3.57	3.67	3.47
Scored	1.14	1.11	1.18
Conceded	2.43	2.56	2.29
BTTS	54%	61%	47%
CS	17%	17%	18%

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Home Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Away Expected Points - Esiliiga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Tartu JK Welco

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W W	2.18
Home	L W W W W	2.29
Away	W D D W W	2.06

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	71%	65%
AVG	4.21	4.76	3.65
Scored	2.91	3.12	2.71
Conceded	1.29	1.65	0.94
BTTS	62%	71%	53%
CS	29%	24%	35%

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Viimsi JK

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W D	1.71
Home	L W L D D	1.56
Away	L W L W W	1.83

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	44%	56%
AVG	2.79	3.25	2.39
Scored	1.82	2.06	1.61
Conceded	0.97	1.19	0.78
BTTS	50%	63%	39%
CS	35%	31%	39%

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FC Elva

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D D W	1.56
Home	W D W D D	1.69
Away	L W L D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	50%	39%
AVG	3.06	3.00	3.11
Scored	1.56	1.50	1.61
Conceded	1.50	1.50	1.50
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
CS	29%	31%	28%

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Tallinna FC Levadia U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.55
Home	D W W D W	1.71
Away	L W W W D	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	48%	53%	44%
AVG	3.82	3.47	4.19
Scored	2.03	2.00	2.06
Conceded	1.79	1.47	2.13
BTTS	67%	65%	69%
CS	24%	29%	19%

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Tallinna FC Flora U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W D	1.56
Home	W W L L W	1.75
Away	L W D D D	1.39

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	56%	33%
AVG	3.97	4.25	3.72
Scored	2.26	2.38	2.17
Conceded	1.71	1.88	1.56
BTTS	68%	63%	72%
CS	24%	25%	22%

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JK Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L L W	1.21
Home	D D L L W	1.44
Away	W W L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	39%	27%
AVG	3.70	3.83	3.53
Scored	1.79	2.06	1.47
Conceded	1.91	1.78	2.07
BTTS	76%	83%	67%
CS	12%	11%	13%

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Maardu Linnameeskond

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	1.41
Home	W W D D L	1.65
Away	W L W D D	1.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	27%
AVG	3.22	2.94	3.53
Scored	1.41	1.29	1.53
Conceded	1.81	1.65	2.00
BTTS	63%	59%	67%
CS	22%	24%	20%

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FC Nõmme United U21 (Nõmme United II)

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.09
Home	L W W L D	1.29
Away	L L W L L	0.88

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	29%	35%	24%
AVG	3.68	2.65	4.71
Scored	1.62	1.24	2.00
Conceded	2.06	1.41	2.71
BTTS	74%	53%	94%
CS	15%	24%	6%

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Nõmme Kalju FC U21

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D L L	0.69
Home	L L L D L	0.72
Away	L L D L L	0.65

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	17%	17%	18%
AVG	3.57	3.67	3.47
Scored	1.14	1.11	1.18
Conceded	2.43	2.56	2.29
BTTS	54%	61%	47%
CS	17%	17%	18%

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FC Tallinn

Esiliiga (Div. 2)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Estonia

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L W	1.06
Home	D L L L L	1.00
Away	L W D W W	1.12

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	25%	29%
AVG	3.45	3.63	3.29
Scored	1.18	1.25	1.12
Conceded	2.27	2.38	2.18
BTTS	58%	50%	65%
CS	9%	13%	6%

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Away Expected Points Table for Estonia - Esiliiga 2026 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Estonia

Meistriliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Esiliiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Esiliiga B Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 3

Estonian Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

II liiga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 4

Super Cup Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Esiliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Meistriliiga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Womens Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 2 3 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Playoffs 3 4 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Womens Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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