Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 92 | 86 | -6 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 38 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 91 | 94 | +3 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 67 | 69 | +2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 38 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 65 | 45 | -20 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 15 | 16 | 7 | 61 | 50 | -11 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 60 | +9 |
| 7 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 51 | 42 | -9 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 51 | 46 | -5 |
| 9 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 38 | 10 | 20 | 8 | 50 | 43 | -7 |
| 10 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48 | 46 | -2 |
| 11 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 49 | +2 |
| 12 | ![]() | Elche CF | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 43 | -2 |
| 13 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 42 | 43 | +1 |
| 14 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39 | 54 | +15 |
| 15 | ![]() | Girona FC | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 38 | 41 | +3 |
| 16 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 38 | 7 | 16 | 15 | 37 | 72 | +35 |
| 17 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 35 | 51 | +16 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 35 | 42 | +7 |
| 19 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 32 | 42 | +10 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 38 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 25 | 29 | +4 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Real Madrid CF's xG was 0.95 and FC Barcelona's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Barcelona.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Real Madrid CF with 92 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 53 | 57 | 10 |
| 2 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 51 | 45 | 16 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 39 | 17 |
| 4 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 24 | 15 |
| 5 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 40 | 22 | 21 |
| 6 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 24 |
| 7 | ![]() | Elche CF | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 36 | 30 | 19 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 34 | 19 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 37 | 31 |
| 10 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 27 | 23 |
| 11 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 48 | 19 |
| 12 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 29 | 24 | 25 |
| 13 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 24 |
| 14 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
| 15 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | 21 |
| 16 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 28 |
| 17 | ![]() | Girona FC | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 21 | 27 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 26 | 28 |
| 19 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 32 | 19 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 38 | 38 | 26 |
| 3 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 27 |
| 5 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 19 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 29 |
| 7 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 22 | 30 |
| 8 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 22 | 31 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 29 |
| 10 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 32 |
| 11 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 31 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 20 |
| 13 | ![]() | Girona FC | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 18 | 28 |
| 14 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 22 |
| 15 | ![]() | Levante UD | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 33 |
| 16 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| 17 | ![]() | Elche CF | 19 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 38 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 36 |
| 19 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 19 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 27 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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