Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 33 | +2 |
| 2 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 15 | -14 |
| 3 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 30 | +3 |
| 4 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 13 | -9 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 28 | +7 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 26 | +6 |
| 7 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 22 | +4 |
| 8 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 9 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 12 | -2 |
| 13 | ![]() | Elche CF | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 10 | -3 |
| 14 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 | ![]() | Levante UD | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 14 | +5 |
| 19 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 9 | +2 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FC Barcelona's xG was 0.95 and Villarreal CF's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Villarreal CF.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FC Barcelona with 31 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 24 | 7 |
| 2 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| 4 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
| 7 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 5 |
| 8 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 6 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 12 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | ![]() | Levante UD | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | ![]() | Elche CF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 15 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 16 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 17 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
| 19 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 20 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | 7 |
| 2 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 8 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 6 |
| 4 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 |
| 8 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | ![]() | Elche CF | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 19 |
| 16 | ![]() | Levante UD | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 17 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 19 |
| 19 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| 20 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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