Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 27 | +5 |
| 2 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 22 | +2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | -11 |
| 5 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | -7 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | +6 |
| 7 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -4 |
| 8 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -3 |
| 11 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 | ![]() | Elche CF | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | +7 |
| 16 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 | ![]() | Levante UD | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 8 | +3 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FC Barcelona's xG was 0.95 and Real Madrid CF's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Real Madrid CF.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FC Barcelona with 22 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | 4 |
| 2 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 3 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 3 |
| 4 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 5 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 7 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 16 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 17 | ![]() | Elche CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 |
| 19 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 20 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 5 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 5 |
| 4 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 5 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | ![]() | Elche CF | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 |
| 15 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | ![]() | Levante UD | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 17 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 18 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 19 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 |
| 20 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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