Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -3 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 21 | +5 |
| 3 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -4 |
| 4 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | +2 |
| 5 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -6 |
| 6 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -4 |
| 7 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -4 |
| 8 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 16 | +6 |
| 10 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -3 |
| 11 | ![]() | Elche CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -3 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +4 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +5 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Real Madrid CF's xG was 0.95 and FC Barcelona's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Barcelona.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Real Madrid CF with 18 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 3 |
| 2 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 2 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 4 |
| 4 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ![]() | Elche CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
| 17 | ![]() | Levante UD | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 18 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 19 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 3 |
| 4 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 6 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 7 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | ![]() | Elche CF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 11 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 |
| 12 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 17 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 19 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 20 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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