Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -3 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 3 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +1 |
| 4 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -6 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 8 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 | ![]() | Elche CF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -4 |
| 11 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +5 |
| 13 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +5 |
| 16 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 | ![]() | Levante UD | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Real Madrid CF's xG was 0.95 and FC Barcelona's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Barcelona.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Real Madrid CF with 12 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| 3 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 6 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 | ![]() | Elche CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 17 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | ![]() | Levante UD | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| 2 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | Elche CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| 10 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo de La Coruña | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | ![]() | Real Racing Club de Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 15 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | ![]() | Levante UD | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 19 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | ![]() | Málaga CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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