Expected Points - Spain La Liga
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Expected Points (xPts) - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 83 | 73 | -10 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 31 | 24 | 7 | 0 | 79 | 79 | 0 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 57 | -3 |
| 4 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 56 | 41 | -15 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 48 | 35 | -13 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 49 | +3 |
| 7 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 44 | 42 | -2 |
| 8 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 36 | -5 |
| 9 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 38 | -3 |
| 10 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 39 | -2 |
| 11 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 31 | 7 | 17 | 7 | 38 | 34 | -4 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 36 | 44 | +8 |
| 13 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 33 | -2 |
| 14 | ![]() | Elche CF | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 32 | +1 |
| 15 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 29 | 61 | +32 |
| 16 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 31 | 4 | 17 | 10 | 29 | 41 | +12 |
| 17 | ![]() | Girona FC | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 38 | +11 |
| 18 | ![]() | Levante UD | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 29 | +4 |
| 19 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 35 | +11 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 31 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 17 | 27 | +10 |
Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Real Madrid CF's xG was 0.95 and FC Barcelona's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for FC Barcelona.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Real Madrid CF with 83 expected points.
Home Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 51 | 9 |
| 2 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 45 | 39 | 14 |
| 3 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 | 35 | 14 |
| 4 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 34 | 21 | 19 |
| 5 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 17 | 11 |
| 6 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 26 | 16 |
| 7 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 17 |
| 8 | ![]() | Elche CF | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 16 |
| 9 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 18 |
| 10 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 32 | 24 |
| 11 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 21 |
| 12 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 34 | 13 |
| 13 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 24 |
| 14 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 16 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 20 | 21 | 23 |
| 15 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
| 16 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 20 |
| 17 | ![]() | Levante UD | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 26 |
| 18 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 15 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 11 |
| 19 | ![]() | Girona FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 19 | 24 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
Home Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - La Liga
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Real Madrid CF | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 38 | 28 | 16 |
| 2 | ![]() | FC Barcelona | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 31 | 33 | 21 |
| 3 | ![]() | Athletic Club Bilbao | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | ![]() | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 24 |
| 5 | ![]() | Club Atlético de Madrid | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | ![]() | Reial Club Deportiu Espanyol | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 27 |
| 7 | ![]() | Sevilla FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 28 |
| 8 | ![]() | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 27 |
| 9 | ![]() | Real Betis Balompié | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 24 |
| 10 | ![]() | Valencia CF | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 29 |
| 11 | ![]() | Deportivo Alavés | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 30 |
| 12 | ![]() | Real Club Celta de Vigo | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 16 |
| 13 | ![]() | Getafe Club de Fútbol | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 21 |
| 14 | ![]() | Girona FC | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 24 |
| 15 | ![]() | CA Osasuna | 17 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 22 |
| 16 | ![]() | Levante UD | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 24 |
| 17 | ![]() | Villarreal CF | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 23 |
| 18 | ![]() | Real Club Deportivo Mallorca | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 29 |
| 19 | ![]() | Elche CF | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 31 |
| 20 | ![]() | Real Oviedo | 16 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 17 | 34 |
Away Expected Points Table for Spain - La Liga 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Spain
- Division 1
- Division 2
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 1
- Division 4
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Division 4
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
- Division 3
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Cup or Playoff
- Division 3
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