Expected Points - Mali Première Division

Nation

Mali

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

181/182 Played

Progress

99% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L W	2.19
Home	W D W W L	2.00
Away	W D W W W	2.42

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	57%	75%
AVG	1.88	1.50	2.33
Scored	1.42	1.07	1.83
Conceded	0.46	0.43	0.50
BTTS	35%	29%	42%
CS	54%	57%	50%

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Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	1.92
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	D W D W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	62%	46%
AVG	1.65	1.85	1.46
Scored	1.08	1.23	0.92
Conceded	0.58	0.62	0.54
BTTS	19%	15%	23%
CS	65%	62%	69%

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Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.65
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L W W L L	1.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	33%	57%
AVG	1.65	1.33	1.93
Scored	1.08	0.83	1.29
Conceded	0.58	0.50	0.64
BTTS	27%	17%	36%
CS	58%	58%	57%

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AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.04
Home	L L L L W	0.77
Away	D D W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	15%	31%
AVG	1.81	2.23	1.38
Scored	0.77	0.77	0.77
Conceded	1.04	1.46	0.62
BTTS	31%	38%	23%
CS	35%	15%	54%

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-13

FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.69
Home	W L D L L	1.54
Away	L W L W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	2.15	1.85	2.46
Scored	1.23	0.92	1.54
Conceded	0.92	0.92	0.92
BTTS	38%	23%	54%
CS	50%	62%	38%

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+10

AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L L	1.27
Home	L L W W L	1.69
Away	L L W D L	0.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	54%	15%
AVG	2.27	2.46	2.08
Scored	1.08	1.31	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.15	1.23
BTTS	42%	38%	46%
CS	35%	38%	31%

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AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W W	1.81
Home	D W D D W	1.85
Away	D L L L W	1.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	1.73	1.77	1.69
Scored	1.19	1.31	1.08
Conceded	0.54	0.46	0.62
BTTS	35%	38%	31%
CS	54%	54%	54%

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+15

Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D W W	1.15
Home	L L L W W	1.21
Away	L D L W D	1.08

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	25%
AVG	2.35	2.43	2.25
Scored	0.92	1.07	0.75
Conceded	1.42	1.36	1.50
BTTS	35%	36%	33%
CS	23%	21%	25%

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-1

US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.50
Home	W L L W W	1.62
Away	W W L D L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	46%	38%
AVG	2.46	2.15	2.77
Scored	1.38	1.31	1.46
Conceded	1.08	0.85	1.31
BTTS	50%	38%	62%
CS	31%	38%	23%

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+12

Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.15
Home	W D D W D	1.08
Away	D W D L L	1.23

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	15%	23%
AVG	1.54	1.62	1.46
Scored	0.73	0.77	0.69
Conceded	0.81	0.85	0.77
BTTS	38%	46%	31%
CS	42%	31%	54%

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US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W L	0.72
Home	L D D D W	0.92
Away	D L L L L	0.54

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	16%	17%	15%
AVG	1.88	1.42	2.31
Scored	0.44	0.42	0.46
Conceded	1.44	1.00	1.85
BTTS	28%	25%	31%
CS	28%	33%	23%

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-6

FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D L	0.77
Home	L W D D W	0.77
Away	D D L D L	0.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	15%	15%
AVG	1.96	2.00	1.92
Scored	0.77	0.69	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.31	1.08
BTTS	42%	46%	38%
CS	19%	15%	23%

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-3

AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D D	0.85
Home	L D L W D	1.08
Away	D D D L D	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	25%	7%
AVG	1.42	1.67	1.21
Scored	0.50	0.67	0.36
Conceded	0.92	1.00	0.86
BTTS	23%	33%	14%
CS	35%	33%	36%

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-1

US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.16
Home	L D D D L	0.85
Away	L L W W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	15%	42%
AVG	2.00	2.38	1.58
Scored	0.76	0.85	0.67
Conceded	1.24	1.54	0.92
BTTS	28%	46%	8%
CS	44%	31%	58%

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+12

Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Djoliba AC Bamako's xG was 0.95 and Stade Malien de Bamako's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Stade Malien de Bamako.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Djoliba AC Bamako with 52 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L W	2.19
Home	W D W W L	2.00
Away	W D W W W	2.42

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	57%	75%
AVG	1.88	1.50	2.33
Scored	1.42	1.07	1.83
Conceded	0.46	0.43	0.50
BTTS	35%	29%	42%
CS	54%	57%	50%

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Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	1.92
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	D W D W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	62%	46%
AVG	1.65	1.85	1.46
Scored	1.08	1.23	0.92
Conceded	0.58	0.62	0.54
BTTS	19%	15%	23%
CS	65%	62%	69%

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FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.69
Home	W L D L L	1.54
Away	L W L W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	2.15	1.85	2.46
Scored	1.23	0.92	1.54
Conceded	0.92	0.92	0.92
BTTS	38%	23%	54%
CS	50%	62%	38%

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Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.65
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L W W L L	1.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	33%	57%
AVG	1.65	1.33	1.93
Scored	1.08	0.83	1.29
Conceded	0.58	0.50	0.64
BTTS	27%	17%	36%
CS	58%	58%	57%

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AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.04
Home	L L L L W	0.77
Away	D D W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	15%	31%
AVG	1.81	2.23	1.38
Scored	0.77	0.77	0.77
Conceded	1.04	1.46	0.62
BTTS	31%	38%	23%
CS	35%	15%	54%

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AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D D	0.85
Home	L D L W D	1.08
Away	D D D L D	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	25%	7%
AVG	1.42	1.67	1.21
Scored	0.50	0.67	0.36
Conceded	0.92	1.00	0.86
BTTS	23%	33%	14%
CS	35%	33%	36%

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AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L L	1.27
Home	L L W W L	1.69
Away	L L W D L	0.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	54%	15%
AVG	2.27	2.46	2.08
Scored	1.08	1.31	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.15	1.23
BTTS	42%	38%	46%
CS	35%	38%	31%

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Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D W W	1.15
Home	L L L W W	1.21
Away	L D L W D	1.08

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	25%
AVG	2.35	2.43	2.25
Scored	0.92	1.07	0.75
Conceded	1.42	1.36	1.50
BTTS	35%	36%	33%
CS	23%	21%	25%

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AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W W	1.81
Home	D W D D W	1.85
Away	D L L L W	1.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	1.73	1.77	1.69
Scored	1.19	1.31	1.08
Conceded	0.54	0.46	0.62
BTTS	35%	38%	31%
CS	54%	54%	54%

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US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.50
Home	W L L W W	1.62
Away	W W L D L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	46%	38%
AVG	2.46	2.15	2.77
Scored	1.38	1.31	1.46
Conceded	1.08	0.85	1.31
BTTS	50%	38%	62%
CS	31%	38%	23%

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Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.15
Home	W D D W D	1.08
Away	D W D L L	1.23

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	15%	23%
AVG	1.54	1.62	1.46
Scored	0.73	0.77	0.69
Conceded	0.81	0.85	0.77
BTTS	38%	46%	31%
CS	42%	31%	54%

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FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D L	0.77
Home	L W D D W	0.77
Away	D D L D L	0.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	15%	15%
AVG	1.96	2.00	1.92
Scored	0.77	0.69	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.31	1.08
BTTS	42%	46%	38%
CS	19%	15%	23%

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US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W L	0.72
Home	L D D D W	0.92
Away	D L L L L	0.54

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	16%	17%	15%
AVG	1.88	1.42	2.31
Scored	0.44	0.42	0.46
Conceded	1.44	1.00	1.85
BTTS	28%	25%	31%
CS	28%	33%	23%

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US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.16
Home	L D D D L	0.85
Away	L L W W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	15%	42%
AVG	2.00	2.38	1.58
Scored	0.76	0.85	0.67
Conceded	1.24	1.54	0.92
BTTS	28%	46%	8%
CS	44%	31%	58%

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Home Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W L W	2.19
Home	W D W W L	2.00
Away	W D W W W	2.42

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	65%	57%	75%
AVG	1.88	1.50	2.33
Scored	1.42	1.07	1.83
Conceded	0.46	0.43	0.50
BTTS	35%	29%	42%
CS	54%	57%	50%

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AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L D W	1.04
Home	L L L L W	0.77
Away	D D W D D	1.31

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	15%	31%
AVG	1.81	2.23	1.38
Scored	0.77	0.77	0.77
Conceded	1.04	1.46	0.62
BTTS	31%	38%	23%
CS	35%	15%	54%

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Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L D	1.65
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L W W L L	1.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	33%	57%
AVG	1.65	1.33	1.93
Scored	1.08	0.83	1.29
Conceded	0.58	0.50	0.64
BTTS	27%	17%	36%
CS	58%	58%	57%

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Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D W W W	1.92
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	D W D W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	54%	62%	46%
AVG	1.65	1.85	1.46
Scored	1.08	1.23	0.92
Conceded	0.58	0.62	0.54
BTTS	19%	15%	23%
CS	65%	62%	69%

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AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L D W W	1.81
Home	D W D D W	1.85
Away	D L L L W	1.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	1.73	1.77	1.69
Scored	1.19	1.31	1.08
Conceded	0.54	0.46	0.62
BTTS	35%	38%	31%
CS	54%	54%	54%

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AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W L L	1.27
Home	L L W W L	1.69
Away	L L W D L	0.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	35%	54%	15%
AVG	2.27	2.46	2.08
Scored	1.08	1.31	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.15	1.23
BTTS	42%	38%	46%
CS	35%	38%	31%

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Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D W W	1.15
Home	L L L W W	1.21
Away	L D L W D	1.08

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	25%
AVG	2.35	2.43	2.25
Scored	0.92	1.07	0.75
Conceded	1.42	1.36	1.50
BTTS	35%	36%	33%
CS	23%	21%	25%

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US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.50
Home	W L L W W	1.62
Away	W W L D L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	46%	38%
AVG	2.46	2.15	2.77
Scored	1.38	1.31	1.46
Conceded	1.08	0.85	1.31
BTTS	50%	38%	62%
CS	31%	38%	23%

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US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W L	0.72
Home	L D D D W	0.92
Away	D L L L L	0.54

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	16%	17%	15%
AVG	1.88	1.42	2.31
Scored	0.44	0.42	0.46
Conceded	1.44	1.00	1.85
BTTS	28%	25%	31%
CS	28%	33%	23%

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Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.15
Home	W D D W D	1.08
Away	D W D L L	1.23

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	19%	15%	23%
AVG	1.54	1.62	1.46
Scored	0.73	0.77	0.69
Conceded	0.81	0.85	0.77
BTTS	38%	46%	31%
CS	42%	31%	54%

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FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.69
Home	W L D L L	1.54
Away	L W L W W	1.85

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	46%	54%
AVG	2.15	1.85	2.46
Scored	1.23	0.92	1.54
Conceded	0.92	0.92	0.92
BTTS	38%	23%	54%
CS	50%	62%	38%

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FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W D L	0.77
Home	L W D D W	0.77
Away	D D L D L	0.77

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	15%	15%
AVG	1.96	2.00	1.92
Scored	0.77	0.69	0.85
Conceded	1.19	1.31	1.08
BTTS	42%	46%	38%
CS	19%	15%	23%

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US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W L L	1.16
Home	L D D D L	0.85
Away	L L W W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	15%	42%
AVG	2.00	2.38	1.58
Scored	0.76	0.85	0.67
Conceded	1.24	1.54	0.92
BTTS	28%	46%	8%
CS	44%	31%	58%

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AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D D	0.85
Home	L D L W D	1.08
Away	D D D L D	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	25%	7%
AVG	1.42	1.67	1.21
Scored	0.50	0.67	0.36
Conceded	0.92	1.00	0.86
BTTS	23%	33%	14%
CS	35%	33%	36%

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Away Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Mali

Première Division Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

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