Expected Points - Mali Première Division

Nation

Mali

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025/26

Matches

102/105 Played

Progress

97% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D W	2.14
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W D W	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	1.71	1.71	1.71
Scored	1.36	1.29	1.43
Conceded	0.36	0.43	0.29
BTTS	21%	29%	14%
CS	64%	57%	71%

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Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W W	2.00
Home	W L L W W	1.43
Away	D W W W D	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	2.07	2.00	2.13
Scored	1.47	1.29	1.63
Conceded	0.60	0.71	0.50
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	53%	43%	63%

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AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W L	1.46
Home	D W W L W	2.17
Away	D L D D L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	67%	14%
AVG	2.08	2.50	1.71
Scored	1.23	1.83	0.71
Conceded	0.85	0.67	1.00
BTTS	46%	50%	43%
CS	38%	50%	29%

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-3

FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.00
Home	W L W D W	2.29
Away	D D W D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	1.71	1.43	2.00
Scored	1.21	1.14	1.29
Conceded	0.50	0.29	0.71
BTTS	29%	0%	57%
CS	64%	86%	43%

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Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.00
Home	W L L W L	1.00
Away	D L L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	29%	25%
AVG	2.40	2.14	2.63
Scored	0.80	0.86	0.75
Conceded	1.60	1.29	1.88
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	20%	29%	13%

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-5

AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.13
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	L L W D W	1.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	14%	38%
AVG	1.67	2.00	1.38
Scored	0.67	0.71	0.63
Conceded	1.00	1.29	0.75
BTTS	27%	43%	13%
CS	40%	29%	50%

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-3

AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.07
Home	W L D D W	1.71
Away	W W L W W	2.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	1.80	1.86	1.75
Scored	1.33	1.29	1.38
Conceded	0.47	0.57	0.38
BTTS	33%	43%	25%
CS	60%	43%	75%

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+12

Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	1.46
Home	W W L D L	1.43
Away	D W D W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	43%	33%
AVG	1.38	1.43	1.33
Scored	0.62	0.71	0.50
Conceded	0.77	0.71	0.83
BTTS	8%	0%	17%
CS	62%	57%	67%

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FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L L L	0.60
Home	L D D L L	0.25
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	13%	0%	29%
AVG	1.87	2.00	1.71
Scored	0.60	0.38	0.86
Conceded	1.27	1.63	0.86
BTTS	27%	38%	14%
CS	27%	13%	43%

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-9

US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	0.73
Home	L D D L L	0.63
Away	W L L W L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	13%	29%
AVG	1.73	1.50	2.00
Scored	0.33	0.25	0.43
Conceded	1.40	1.25	1.57
BTTS	13%	13%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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-4

AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	0.87
Home	L W W D L	1.00
Away	L L D W L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	14%
AVG	1.60	1.75	1.43
Scored	0.60	0.63	0.57
Conceded	1.00	1.13	0.86
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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-1

US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	1.47
Home	D L W L D	1.57
Away	W D L W L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	43%	38%
AVG	2.13	1.71	2.50
Scored	1.20	1.14	1.25
Conceded	0.93	0.57	1.25
BTTS	40%	29%	50%
CS	33%	43%	25%

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Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.87
Home	D L D D L	0.63
Away	L W D D D	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	0%	14%
AVG	1.20	1.25	1.14
Scored	0.40	0.38	0.43
Conceded	0.80	0.88	0.71
BTTS	33%	38%	29%
CS	40%	25%	57%

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US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	1.33
Home	L D L L W	1.00
Away	D W D D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	25%	43%
AVG	1.60	1.88	1.29
Scored	0.73	0.75	0.71
Conceded	0.87	1.13	0.57
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	53%	38%	71%

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+11

Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Djoliba AC Bamako's xG was 0.95 and Binga FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Binga FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Djoliba AC Bamako with 28 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W W	2.00
Home	W L L W W	1.43
Away	D W W W D	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	2.07	2.00	2.13
Scored	1.47	1.29	1.63
Conceded	0.60	0.71	0.50
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	53%	43%	63%

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Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D W	2.14
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W D W	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	1.71	1.71	1.71
Scored	1.36	1.29	1.43
Conceded	0.36	0.43	0.29
BTTS	21%	29%	14%
CS	64%	57%	71%

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FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.00
Home	W L W D W	2.29
Away	D D W D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	1.71	1.43	2.00
Scored	1.21	1.14	1.29
Conceded	0.50	0.29	0.71
BTTS	29%	0%	57%
CS	64%	86%	43%

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Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	1.46
Home	W W L D L	1.43
Away	D W D W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	43%	33%
AVG	1.38	1.43	1.33
Scored	0.62	0.71	0.50
Conceded	0.77	0.71	0.83
BTTS	8%	0%	17%
CS	62%	57%	67%

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AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	0.87
Home	L W W D L	1.00
Away	L L D W L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	14%
AVG	1.60	1.75	1.43
Scored	0.60	0.63	0.57
Conceded	1.00	1.13	0.86
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L L L	0.60
Home	L D D L L	0.25
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	13%	0%	29%
AVG	1.87	2.00	1.71
Scored	0.60	0.38	0.86
Conceded	1.27	1.63	0.86
BTTS	27%	38%	14%
CS	27%	13%	43%

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AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W L	1.46
Home	D W W L W	2.17
Away	D L D D L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	67%	14%
AVG	2.08	2.50	1.71
Scored	1.23	1.83	0.71
Conceded	0.85	0.67	1.00
BTTS	46%	50%	43%
CS	38%	50%	29%

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Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.00
Home	W L L W L	1.00
Away	D L L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	29%	25%
AVG	2.40	2.14	2.63
Scored	0.80	0.86	0.75
Conceded	1.60	1.29	1.88
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	20%	29%	13%

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AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.13
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	L L W D W	1.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	14%	38%
AVG	1.67	2.00	1.38
Scored	0.67	0.71	0.63
Conceded	1.00	1.29	0.75
BTTS	27%	43%	13%
CS	40%	29%	50%

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Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.87
Home	D L D D L	0.63
Away	L W D D D	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	0%	14%
AVG	1.20	1.25	1.14
Scored	0.40	0.38	0.43
Conceded	0.80	0.88	0.71
BTTS	33%	38%	29%
CS	40%	25%	57%

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AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.07
Home	W L D D W	1.71
Away	W W L W W	2.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	1.80	1.86	1.75
Scored	1.33	1.29	1.38
Conceded	0.47	0.57	0.38
BTTS	33%	43%	25%
CS	60%	43%	75%

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US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	0.73
Home	L D D L L	0.63
Away	W L L W L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	13%	29%
AVG	1.73	1.50	2.00
Scored	0.33	0.25	0.43
Conceded	1.40	1.25	1.57
BTTS	13%	13%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	1.33
Home	L D L L W	1.00
Away	D W D D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	25%	43%
AVG	1.60	1.88	1.29
Scored	0.73	0.75	0.71
Conceded	0.87	1.13	0.57
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	53%	38%	71%

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US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	1.47
Home	D L W L D	1.57
Away	W D L W L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	43%	38%
AVG	2.13	1.71	2.50
Scored	1.20	1.14	1.25
Conceded	0.93	0.57	1.25
BTTS	40%	29%	50%
CS	33%	43%	25%

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Home Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season.

Away Expected Points - Première Division

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Djoliba AC Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W D W	2.14
Home	W W W D W	2.00
Away	W W W D W	2.29

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	64%	57%	71%
AVG	1.71	1.71	1.71
Scored	1.36	1.29	1.43
Conceded	0.36	0.43	0.29
BTTS	21%	29%	14%
CS	64%	57%	71%

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AS Réal de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W D W	2.07
Home	W L D D W	1.71
Away	W W L W W	2.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	1.80	1.86	1.75
Scored	1.33	1.29	1.38
Conceded	0.47	0.57	0.38
BTTS	33%	43%	25%
CS	60%	43%	75%

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AS Korofina

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D D W L	1.46
Home	D W W L W	2.17
Away	D L D D L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	67%	14%
AVG	2.08	2.50	1.71
Scored	1.23	1.83	0.71
Conceded	0.85	0.67	1.00
BTTS	46%	50%	43%
CS	38%	50%	29%

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Afrique Football Élite

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L D L L	1.00
Home	W L L W L	1.00
Away	D L L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	29%	25%
AVG	2.40	2.14	2.63
Scored	0.80	0.86	0.75
Conceded	1.60	1.29	1.88
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	20%	29%	13%

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AS Bakaridjan de Barouéli

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D W W	1.13
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	L L W D W	1.25

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	14%	38%
AVG	1.67	2.00	1.38
Scored	0.67	0.71	0.63
Conceded	1.00	1.29	0.75
BTTS	27%	43%	13%
CS	40%	29%	50%

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Binga FC

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L L W W	2.00
Home	W L L W W	1.43
Away	D W W W D	2.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	60%	43%	75%
AVG	2.07	2.00	2.13
Scored	1.47	1.29	1.63
Conceded	0.60	0.71	0.50
BTTS	33%	29%	38%
CS	53%	43%	63%

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US des Forces Armées et de Sécurité de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L D L	1.47
Home	D L W L D	1.57
Away	W D L W L	1.38

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	43%	38%
AVG	2.13	1.71	2.50
Scored	1.20	1.14	1.25
Conceded	0.93	0.57	1.25
BTTS	40%	29%	50%
CS	33%	43%	25%

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US Bougouni

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	0.73
Home	L D D L L	0.63
Away	W L L W L	0.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	13%	29%
AVG	1.73	1.50	2.00
Scored	0.33	0.25	0.43
Conceded	1.40	1.25	1.57
BTTS	13%	13%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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FC Diarra de la Commune 4

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D D W W	2.00
Home	W L W D W	2.29
Away	D D W D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	71%	43%
AVG	1.71	1.43	2.00
Scored	1.21	1.14	1.29
Conceded	0.50	0.29	0.71
BTTS	29%	0%	57%
CS	64%	86%	43%

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Stade Malien de Bamako

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L L	1.46
Home	W W L D L	1.43
Away	D W D W L	1.50

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	43%	33%
AVG	1.38	1.43	1.33
Scored	0.62	0.71	0.50
Conceded	0.77	0.71	0.83
BTTS	8%	0%	17%
CS	62%	57%	67%

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FC Mali Coura

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D L L L	0.60
Home	L D D L L	0.25
Away	L L W W L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	13%	0%	29%
AVG	1.87	2.00	1.71
Scored	0.60	0.38	0.86
Conceded	1.27	1.63	0.86
BTTS	27%	38%	14%
CS	27%	13%	43%

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Derby Académie

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D D L	0.87
Home	D L D D L	0.63
Away	L W D D D	1.14

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	7%	0%	14%
AVG	1.20	1.25	1.14
Scored	0.40	0.38	0.43
Conceded	0.80	0.88	0.71
BTTS	33%	38%	29%
CS	40%	25%	57%

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US Bougouba

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D L W W	1.33
Home	L D L L W	1.00
Away	D W D D W	1.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	25%	43%
AVG	1.60	1.88	1.29
Scored	0.73	0.75	0.71
Conceded	0.87	1.13	0.57
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	53%	38%	71%

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AS Onze Créateurs de Niaréla

Première Division (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 14

Mali

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W D L L	0.87
Home	L W W D L	1.00
Away	L L D W L	0.71

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	25%	14%
AVG	1.60	1.75	1.43
Scored	0.60	0.63	0.57
Conceded	1.00	1.13	0.86
BTTS	20%	25%	14%
CS	27%	25%	29%

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Away Expected Points Table for Mali - Première Division 2025/26 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Mali

Première Division Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

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