Expected Points - Malawi Super League

Nation

Malawi

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025

Matches

235/240 Played

Progress

98% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - Super League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

Mighty Wanderers Be Forward FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.32
Home	W W W W W	2.54
Away	W W D D L	2.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	77%	60%
AVG	2.14	2.15	2.13
Scored	1.71	1.92	1.53
Conceded	0.43	0.23	0.60
BTTS	32%	23%	40%
CS	68%	77%	60%

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Silver Strikers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W D	2.07
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	D W W D W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	60%	53%
AVG	2.13	2.20	2.07
Scored	1.57	1.73	1.40
Conceded	0.57	0.47	0.67
BTTS	43%	33%	53%
CS	53%	60%	47%

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Big Bullets FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	2.17
Home	W L W W W	2.47
Away	D W L L D	1.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	69%	80%	57%
AVG	2.66	3.67	1.57
Scored	1.97	2.87	1.00
Conceded	0.69	0.80	0.57
BTTS	21%	27%	14%
CS	62%	60%	64%

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+10

Blue Eagles FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.60
Home	D L W W W	1.67
Away	L W W W D	1.53

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	47%	40%
AVG	2.27	2.40	2.13
Scored	1.27	1.53	1.00
Conceded	1.00	0.87	1.13
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	33%	40%	27%

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-3

CIVO United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W W	1.57
Home	D L L D W	1.87
Away	L L L W W	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	53%	33%
AVG	2.00	1.73	2.27
Scored	1.30	1.40	1.20
Conceded	0.70	0.33	1.07
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	47%	67%	27%

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Ekhaya FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.44
Home	W L D W L	1.87
Away	L L W L L	0.92

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	60%	25%
AVG	2.15	2.13	2.17
Scored	1.22	1.53	0.83
Conceded	0.93	0.60	1.33
BTTS	33%	27%	42%
CS	41%	53%	25%

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Dedza Dynamos FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L D	1.07
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L D W L D	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	33%	20%
AVG	1.90	1.33	2.47
Scored	0.80	0.67	0.93
Conceded	1.10	0.67	1.53
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	37%	53%	20%

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-4

Kamuzu Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	1.31
Home	W W W L W	1.67
Away	L L L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	29%
AVG	2.14	2.00	2.29
Scored	1.00	1.07	0.93
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.36
BTTS	24%	20%	29%
CS	38%	53%	21%

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Karonga United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L W	1.55
Home	W L D L W	1.64
Away	D W L L L	1.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	50%	40%
AVG	1.83	1.79	1.87
Scored	1.03	1.07	1.00
Conceded	0.79	0.71	0.87
BTTS	28%	36%	20%
CS	41%	36%	47%

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+10

Malawi Armed Forces College FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.07
Home	D L W W L	1.47
Away	L L D D L	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	47%	7%
AVG	2.21	2.47	1.93
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.71
Conceded	1.21	1.20	1.21
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	24%	27%	21%

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-4

Chitipa United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.23
Home	W W D W D	2.00
Away	L W L L L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	53%	7%
AVG	1.77	2.00	1.53
Scored	0.77	1.33	0.20
Conceded	1.00	0.67	1.33
BTTS	23%	33%	13%
CS	43%	60%	27%

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Moyale Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L D	1.28
Home	D W W W W	1.57
Away	W L L L D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	27%
AVG	2.24	1.93	2.53
Scored	0.90	1.14	0.67
Conceded	1.34	0.79	1.87
BTTS	38%	50%	27%
CS	31%	36%	27%

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Creck SC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	1.34
Home	D D W W W	1.79
Away	D D L L W	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	50%	20%
AVG	1.76	1.79	1.73
Scored	0.83	1.07	0.60
Conceded	0.93	0.71	1.13
BTTS	34%	29%	40%
CS	45%	64%	27%

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+11

Ekwendeni Hammers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D L L	0.93
Home	L D D D W	1.00
Away	L W D L L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	20%	27%
AVG	2.50	2.20	2.80
Scored	0.87	0.87	0.87
Conceded	1.63	1.33	1.93
BTTS	43%	60%	27%
CS	20%	20%	20%

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Mighty Tigers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L D L	0.93
Home	L W D W D	1.29
Away	D D L L L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	36%	7%
AVG	1.86	1.86	1.87
Scored	0.72	0.93	0.53
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.33
BTTS	38%	43%	33%
CS	38%	43%	33%

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Songwe Border United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.20
Home	D L L L L	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.90	2.73	3.07
Scored	0.33	0.53	0.13
Conceded	2.57	2.20	2.93
BTTS	30%	47%	13%
CS	7%	13%	0%

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-2

Expected Points Table for Malawi - Super League 2025 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Mighty Wanderers Be Forward FC's xG was 0.95 and Silver Strikers FC's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Silver Strikers FC.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Mighty Wanderers Be Forward FC with 57 expected points.

Home Expected Points - Super League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Mighty Wanderers Be Forward FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.32
Home	W W W W W	2.54
Away	W W D D L	2.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	77%	60%
AVG	2.14	2.15	2.13
Scored	1.71	1.92	1.53
Conceded	0.43	0.23	0.60
BTTS	32%	23%	40%
CS	68%	77%	60%

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Silver Strikers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W D	2.07
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	D W W D W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	60%	53%
AVG	2.13	2.20	2.07
Scored	1.57	1.73	1.40
Conceded	0.57	0.47	0.67
BTTS	43%	33%	53%
CS	53%	60%	47%

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Big Bullets FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	2.17
Home	W L W W W	2.47
Away	D W L L D	1.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	69%	80%	57%
AVG	2.66	3.67	1.57
Scored	1.97	2.87	1.00
Conceded	0.69	0.80	0.57
BTTS	21%	27%	14%
CS	62%	60%	64%

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Blue Eagles FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.60
Home	D L W W W	1.67
Away	L W W W D	1.53

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	47%	40%
AVG	2.27	2.40	2.13
Scored	1.27	1.53	1.00
Conceded	1.00	0.87	1.13
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	33%	40%	27%

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CIVO United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W W	1.57
Home	D L L D W	1.87
Away	L L L W W	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	53%	33%
AVG	2.00	1.73	2.27
Scored	1.30	1.40	1.20
Conceded	0.70	0.33	1.07
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	47%	67%	27%

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Chitipa United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.23
Home	W W D W D	2.00
Away	L W L L L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	53%	7%
AVG	1.77	2.00	1.53
Scored	0.77	1.33	0.20
Conceded	1.00	0.67	1.33
BTTS	23%	33%	13%
CS	43%	60%	27%

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Ekhaya FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.44
Home	W L D W L	1.87
Away	L L W L L	0.92

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	60%	25%
AVG	2.15	2.13	2.17
Scored	1.22	1.53	0.83
Conceded	0.93	0.60	1.33
BTTS	33%	27%	42%
CS	41%	53%	25%

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Dedza Dynamos FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L D	1.07
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L D W L D	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	33%	20%
AVG	1.90	1.33	2.47
Scored	0.80	0.67	0.93
Conceded	1.10	0.67	1.53
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	37%	53%	20%

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Karonga United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L W	1.55
Home	W L D L W	1.64
Away	D W L L L	1.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	50%	40%
AVG	1.83	1.79	1.87
Scored	1.03	1.07	1.00
Conceded	0.79	0.71	0.87
BTTS	28%	36%	20%
CS	41%	36%	47%

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Malawi Armed Forces College FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.07
Home	D L W W L	1.47
Away	L L D D L	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	47%	7%
AVG	2.21	2.47	1.93
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.71
Conceded	1.21	1.20	1.21
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	24%	27%	21%

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Kamuzu Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	1.31
Home	W W W L W	1.67
Away	L L L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	29%
AVG	2.14	2.00	2.29
Scored	1.00	1.07	0.93
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.36
BTTS	24%	20%	29%
CS	38%	53%	21%

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Creck SC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	1.34
Home	D D W W W	1.79
Away	D D L L W	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	50%	20%
AVG	1.76	1.79	1.73
Scored	0.83	1.07	0.60
Conceded	0.93	0.71	1.13
BTTS	34%	29%	40%
CS	45%	64%	27%

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Moyale Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L D	1.28
Home	D W W W W	1.57
Away	W L L L D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	27%
AVG	2.24	1.93	2.53
Scored	0.90	1.14	0.67
Conceded	1.34	0.79	1.87
BTTS	38%	50%	27%
CS	31%	36%	27%

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Mighty Tigers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L D L	0.93
Home	L W D W D	1.29
Away	D D L L L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	36%	7%
AVG	1.86	1.86	1.87
Scored	0.72	0.93	0.53
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.33
BTTS	38%	43%	33%
CS	38%	43%	33%

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Ekwendeni Hammers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D L L	0.93
Home	L D D D W	1.00
Away	L W D L L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	20%	27%
AVG	2.50	2.20	2.80
Scored	0.87	0.87	0.87
Conceded	1.63	1.33	1.93
BTTS	43%	60%	27%
CS	20%	20%	20%

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Songwe Border United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.20
Home	D L L L L	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.90	2.73	3.07
Scored	0.33	0.53	0.13
Conceded	2.57	2.20	2.93
BTTS	30%	47%	13%
CS	7%	13%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Malawi - Super League 2025 season.

Away Expected Points - Super League

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Mighty Wanderers Be Forward FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W W	2.32
Home	W W W W W	2.54
Away	W W D D L	2.13

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	77%	60%
AVG	2.14	2.15	2.13
Scored	1.71	1.92	1.53
Conceded	0.43	0.23	0.60
BTTS	32%	23%	40%
CS	68%	77%	60%

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Blue Eagles FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W W W D	1.60
Home	D L W W W	1.67
Away	L W W W D	1.53

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	47%	40%
AVG	2.27	2.40	2.13
Scored	1.27	1.53	1.00
Conceded	1.00	0.87	1.13
BTTS	53%	47%	60%
CS	33%	40%	27%

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Silver Strikers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W D W W D	2.07
Home	W W W W D	2.13
Away	D W W D W	2.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	57%	60%	53%
AVG	2.13	2.20	2.07
Scored	1.57	1.73	1.40
Conceded	0.57	0.47	0.67
BTTS	43%	33%	53%
CS	53%	60%	47%

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Big Bullets FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L W D W	2.17
Home	W L W W W	2.47
Away	D W L L D	1.86

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	69%	80%	57%
AVG	2.66	3.67	1.57
Scored	1.97	2.87	1.00
Conceded	0.69	0.80	0.57
BTTS	21%	27%	14%
CS	62%	60%	64%

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Kamuzu Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L W L	1.31
Home	W W W L W	1.67
Away	L L L L L	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	47%	29%
AVG	2.14	2.00	2.29
Scored	1.00	1.07	0.93
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.36
BTTS	24%	20%	29%
CS	38%	53%	21%

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Dedza Dynamos FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 12 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W D L D	1.07
Home	D D W L D	1.33
Away	L D W L D	0.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	27%	33%	20%
AVG	1.90	1.33	2.47
Scored	0.80	0.67	0.93
Conceded	1.10	0.67	1.53
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	37%	53%	20%

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Karonga United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L D L W	1.55
Home	W L D L W	1.64
Away	D W L L L	1.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	50%	40%
AVG	1.83	1.79	1.87
Scored	1.03	1.07	1.00
Conceded	0.79	0.71	0.87
BTTS	28%	36%	20%
CS	41%	36%	47%

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Malawi Armed Forces College FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 13 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W L	1.07
Home	D L W W L	1.47
Away	L L D D L	0.64

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	47%	7%
AVG	2.21	2.47	1.93
Scored	1.00	1.27	0.71
Conceded	1.21	1.20	1.21
BTTS	45%	40%	50%
CS	24%	27%	21%

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Moyale Barracks FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 11 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L W W L D	1.28
Home	D W W W W	1.57
Away	W L L L D	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	31%	36%	27%
AVG	2.24	1.93	2.53
Scored	0.90	1.14	0.67
Conceded	1.34	0.79	1.87
BTTS	38%	50%	27%
CS	31%	36%	27%

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Ekwendeni Hammers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 14 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W D L L	0.93
Home	L D D D W	1.00
Away	L W D L L	0.87

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	23%	20%	27%
AVG	2.50	2.20	2.80
Scored	0.87	0.87	0.87
Conceded	1.63	1.33	1.93
BTTS	43%	60%	27%
CS	20%	20%	20%

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CIVO United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L W W	1.57
Home	D L L D W	1.87
Away	L L L W W	1.27

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	43%	53%	33%
AVG	2.00	1.73	2.27
Scored	1.30	1.40	1.20
Conceded	0.70	0.33	1.07
BTTS	27%	13%	40%
CS	47%	67%	27%

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Ekhaya FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.44
Home	W L D W L	1.87
Away	L L W L L	0.92

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	60%	25%
AVG	2.15	2.13	2.17
Scored	1.22	1.53	0.83
Conceded	0.93	0.60	1.33
BTTS	33%	27%	42%
CS	41%	53%	25%

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Creck SC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L W W	1.34
Home	D D W W W	1.79
Away	D D L L W	0.93

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	50%	20%
AVG	1.76	1.79	1.73
Scored	0.83	1.07	0.60
Conceded	0.93	0.71	1.13
BTTS	34%	29%	40%
CS	45%	64%	27%

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Chitipa United

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L D L	1.23
Home	W W D W D	2.00
Away	L W L L L	0.47

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	53%	7%
AVG	1.77	2.00	1.53
Scored	0.77	1.33	0.20
Conceded	1.00	0.67	1.33
BTTS	23%	33%	13%
CS	43%	60%	27%

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Mighty Tigers FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 15 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L D L	0.93
Home	L W D W D	1.29
Away	D D L L L	0.60

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	21%	36%	7%
AVG	1.86	1.86	1.87
Scored	0.72	0.93	0.53
Conceded	1.14	0.93	1.33
BTTS	38%	43%	33%
CS	38%	43%	33%

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Songwe Border United FC

Super League (Div. 1)

League Pos. 16 / 16

Malawi

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L L L L L	0.20
Home	D L L L L	0.33
Away	L L L L L	0.07

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	3%	7%	0%
AVG	2.90	2.73	3.07
Scored	0.33	0.53	0.13
Conceded	2.57	2.20	2.93
BTTS	30%	47%	13%
CS	7%	13%	0%

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Away Expected Points Table for Malawi - Super League 2025 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Malawi

Super League Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

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