Expected Points - Lithuania A Lyga

Nation

Lithuania

Division

1st

Teams

Season

2025

Matches

96/135 Played

Progress

71% completed

Expected Points (xPts) - A Lyga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

Actual Pts

xP v Actual

FK Kauno Žalgiris

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.26
Home	W W W W W	2.11
Away	W D W W W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	67%	70%
AVG	2.53	2.78	2.30
Scored	2.00	2.22	1.80
Conceded	0.53	0.56	0.50
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	58%	56%	60%

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VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W W	1.32
Home	W D D L W	1.60
Away	L L D D W	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.53	1.90	3.22
Scored	1.26	1.20	1.33
Conceded	1.26	0.70	1.89
BTTS	47%	40%	56%
CS	32%	50%	11%

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-9

FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.95
Home	W W L L W	2.40
Away	W L W D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	80%	44%
AVG	3.11	3.00	3.22
Scored	1.68	1.90	1.44
Conceded	1.42	1.10	1.78
BTTS	47%	60%	33%
CS	32%	30%	33%

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FK Sūduva Marijampolė

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D W W	1.95
Home	W D W D D	2.11
Away	W D D W W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	56%	50%
AVG	2.37	2.00	2.70
Scored	1.53	1.56	1.50
Conceded	0.84	0.44	1.20
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	53%	67%	40%

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+12

FK Panevėžys

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L L	1.16
Home	W W W L L	1.30
Away	D D L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.84	2.80	2.89
Scored	1.37	1.50	1.22
Conceded	1.47	1.30	1.67
BTTS	58%	40%	78%
CS	26%	40%	11%

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-1

Alytaus DFK Dainava

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W L	0.53
Home	L L D W L	0.50
Away	L D L L W	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	11%	10%	11%
AVG	2.79	2.80	2.78
Scored	0.84	0.80	0.89
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.89
BTTS	53%	60%	44%
CS	5%	0%	11%

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-11

FK Banga Gargždai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.11
Home	W W L D L	1.11
Away	L W W L L	1.10

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	33%	30%
AVG	2.05	2.22	1.90
Scored	0.84	1.00	0.70
Conceded	1.21	1.22	1.20
BTTS	42%	44%	40%
CS	21%	22%	20%

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FK Džiugas Telšiai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.42
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	W W L L W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	22%	60%
AVG	1.89	1.78	2.00
Scored	0.89	0.78	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	32%	44%	20%
CS	32%	11%	50%

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FA Šiauliai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.60
Home	L W W D W	1.67
Away	L D L L W	1.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	44%	45%
AVG	3.00	3.67	2.45
Scored	1.65	2.22	1.18
Conceded	1.35	1.44	1.27
BTTS	50%	56%	45%
CS	30%	33%	27%

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+17

FK Trakai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.65
Home	L W L L L	0.73
Away	L L L L L	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	18%	11%
AVG	3.40	3.45	3.33
Scored	1.20	1.27	1.11
Conceded	2.20	2.18	2.22
BTTS	65%	55%	78%
CS	10%	18%	0%

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Expected Points Table for Lithuania - A Lyga 2025 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FK Kauno Žalgiris's xG was 0.95 and VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius.

Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FK Kauno Žalgiris with 43 expected points.

Home Expected Points - A Lyga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

FK Kauno Žalgiris

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.26
Home	W W W W W	2.11
Away	W D W W W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	67%	70%
AVG	2.53	2.78	2.30
Scored	2.00	2.22	1.80
Conceded	0.53	0.56	0.50
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	58%	56%	60%

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VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W W	1.32
Home	W D D L W	1.60
Away	L L D D W	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.53	1.90	3.22
Scored	1.26	1.20	1.33
Conceded	1.26	0.70	1.89
BTTS	47%	40%	56%
CS	32%	50%	11%

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FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.95
Home	W W L L W	2.40
Away	W L W D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	80%	44%
AVG	3.11	3.00	3.22
Scored	1.68	1.90	1.44
Conceded	1.42	1.10	1.78
BTTS	47%	60%	33%
CS	32%	30%	33%

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FK Banga Gargždai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.11
Home	W W L D L	1.11
Away	L W W L L	1.10

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	33%	30%
AVG	2.05	2.22	1.90
Scored	0.84	1.00	0.70
Conceded	1.21	1.22	1.20
BTTS	42%	44%	40%
CS	21%	22%	20%

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FK Sūduva Marijampolė

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D W W	1.95
Home	W D W D D	2.11
Away	W D D W W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	56%	50%
AVG	2.37	2.00	2.70
Scored	1.53	1.56	1.50
Conceded	0.84	0.44	1.20
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	53%	67%	40%

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FK Panevėžys

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L L	1.16
Home	W W W L L	1.30
Away	D D L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.84	2.80	2.89
Scored	1.37	1.50	1.22
Conceded	1.47	1.30	1.67
BTTS	58%	40%	78%
CS	26%	40%	11%

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Alytaus DFK Dainava

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W L	0.53
Home	L L D W L	0.50
Away	L D L L W	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	11%	10%	11%
AVG	2.79	2.80	2.78
Scored	0.84	0.80	0.89
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.89
BTTS	53%	60%	44%
CS	5%	0%	11%

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FK Džiugas Telšiai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.42
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	W W L L W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	22%	60%
AVG	1.89	1.78	2.00
Scored	0.89	0.78	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	32%	44%	20%
CS	32%	11%	50%

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FA Šiauliai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.60
Home	L W W D W	1.67
Away	L D L L W	1.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	44%	45%
AVG	3.00	3.67	2.45
Scored	1.65	2.22	1.18
Conceded	1.35	1.44	1.27
BTTS	50%	56%	45%
CS	30%	33%	27%

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FK Trakai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.65
Home	L W L L L	0.73
Away	L L L L L	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	18%	11%
AVG	3.40	3.45	3.33
Scored	1.20	1.27	1.11
Conceded	2.20	2.18	2.22
BTTS	65%	55%	78%
CS	10%	18%	0%

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Home Expected Points Table for Lithuania - A Lyga 2025 season.

Away Expected Points - A Lyga

Team

xWins

xDraws

xLosses

xPts

FK Kauno Žalgiris

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 1 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W W W W	2.26
Home	W W W W W	2.11
Away	W D W W W	2.40

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	67%	70%
AVG	2.53	2.78	2.30
Scored	2.00	2.22	1.80
Conceded	0.53	0.56	0.50
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	58%	56%	60%

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VMFD Žalgiris Vilnius

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 6 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D L W W	1.32
Home	W D D L W	1.60
Away	L L D D W	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.53	1.90	3.22
Scored	1.26	1.20	1.33
Conceded	1.26	0.70	1.89
BTTS	47%	40%	56%
CS	32%	50%	11%

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FC Hegelmann Litauen Kaunas

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 3 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.95
Home	W W L L W	2.40
Away	W L W D W	1.44

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	63%	80%	44%
AVG	3.11	3.00	3.22
Scored	1.68	1.90	1.44
Conceded	1.42	1.10	1.78
BTTS	47%	60%	33%
CS	32%	30%	33%

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FK Sūduva Marijampolė

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 2 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D D D W W	1.95
Home	W D W D D	2.11
Away	W D D W W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	53%	56%	50%
AVG	2.37	2.00	2.70
Scored	1.53	1.56	1.50
Conceded	0.84	0.44	1.20
BTTS	37%	33%	40%
CS	53%	67%	40%

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FK Panevėžys

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 7 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D W L L L	1.16
Home	W W W L L	1.30
Away	D D L D L	1.00

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	22%
AVG	2.84	2.80	2.89
Scored	1.37	1.50	1.22
Conceded	1.47	1.30	1.67
BTTS	58%	40%	78%
CS	26%	40%	11%

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Alytaus DFK Dainava

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 10 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W W L	0.53
Home	L L D W L	0.50
Away	L D L L W	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	11%	10%	11%
AVG	2.79	2.80	2.78
Scored	0.84	0.80	0.89
Conceded	1.95	2.00	1.89
BTTS	53%	60%	44%
CS	5%	0%	11%

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FK Džiugas Telšiai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 5 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	D L W L W	1.42
Home	D D D L W	1.00
Away	W W L L W	1.80

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	22%	60%
AVG	1.89	1.78	2.00
Scored	0.89	0.78	1.00
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	32%	44%	20%
CS	32%	11%	50%

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FA Šiauliai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 4 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	L D W L W	1.60
Home	L W W D W	1.67
Away	L D L L W	1.55

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	45%	44%	45%
AVG	3.00	3.67	2.45
Scored	1.65	2.22	1.18
Conceded	1.35	1.44	1.27
BTTS	50%	56%	45%
CS	30%	33%	27%

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FK Trakai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 9 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W L L L L	0.65
Home	L W L L L	0.73
Away	L L L L L	0.56

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	15%	18%	11%
AVG	3.40	3.45	3.33
Scored	1.20	1.27	1.11
Conceded	2.20	2.18	2.22
BTTS	65%	55%	78%
CS	10%	18%	0%

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FK Banga Gargždai

A Lyga (Div. 1)

League Pos. 8 / 10

Lithuania

Form	Last 5	PPG
Overall	W W L L L	1.11
Home	W W L D L	1.11
Away	L W W L L	1.10

Statistics	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	33%	30%
AVG	2.05	2.22	1.90
Scored	0.84	1.00	0.70
Conceded	1.21	1.22	1.20
BTTS	42%	44%	40%
CS	21%	22%	20%

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Away Expected Points Table for Lithuania - A Lyga 2025 season.

Expected Points (xPts) - Lithuania

A Lyga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

1 Lyga Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 2

Lithuanian Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

Super Cup Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

A Lyga Women Expected Points (xPts)
- Division 1

Playoffs 1 2 Expected Points (xPts)
- Cup or Playoff

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