Expected Points - Azerbaijan First Division
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Expected Points (xPts) - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Karvan FK | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 2 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| 3 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| 5 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| 6 | ![]() | Xankəndi FK | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| 7 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2 |
| 8 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| 9 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2026/27 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if Karvan FK's xG was 0.95 and Cəbrayıl FK's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Cəbrayıl FK.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be Karvan FK with 7 expected points.
Home Expected Points - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Karvan FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| 2 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| 4 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 6 | ![]() | Xankəndi FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 8 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 9 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Home Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2026/27 season.
Away Expected Points - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Karvan FK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| 2 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 4 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | ![]() | Xankəndi FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 6 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Away Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2026/27 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Azerbaijan
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- Cup or Playoff
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