Expected Points - Azerbaijan First Division
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Expected Points (xPts) - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | Actual Pts | xP v Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FK Safa | 25 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 49 | 54 | +5 |
| 2 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 49 | 45 | -4 |
| 3 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 25 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 36 | 49 | +13 |
| 4 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 33 | 25 | -8 |
| 5 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 32 | 42 | +10 |
| 6 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 25 | 6 | 14 | 5 | 32 | 30 | -2 |
| 7 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 25 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 41 | +18 |
| 8 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 24 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 24 | +2 |
| 9 | ![]() | FK Difai Ağsu | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 15 | -4 |
| 10 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2025/26 season. xWins = Expected Wins, xDraws = Expected Draws, xLosses = Expected Losses. The expected results are based on the xG of each match. xG of each match is rounded to the nearest round number and treated as the result. For example, if FK Safa's xG was 0.95 and Energetik FK's xG was 1.17, then the result will be rounded to 1-1, and therefore, treated as a draw. If the xG were 0.95 vs 1.55, then it would be rounded to 1-2, and therefore a win for Energetik FK.
Based on the Expected Points, the 1st place on the table would be FK Safa with 49 expected points.
Home Expected Points - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | FK Safa | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 24 | 10 |
| 2 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 27 | 12 |
| 3 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 25 | 8 |
| 4 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 14 | 13 |
| 6 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 7 | ![]() | FK Difai Ağsu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 31 |
| 8 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 12 |
| 9 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 16 |
| 10 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22 |
Home Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2025/26 season.
Away Expected Points - First Division
| # | Team | MP | xWins | xDraws | xLosses | xPts | GF | GA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ![]() | Energetik FK | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 21 | 13 |
| 2 | ![]() | FK Safa | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 26 | 9 |
| 3 | ![]() | Sabail FK | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 20 | 9 |
| 4 | ![]() | Baku Sportinq FK | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 9 |
| 5 | ![]() | FK Zaqatala | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | ![]() | FK MOIK Baku | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | ![]() | Shahdag Qusar FK | 13 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 8 | ![]() | Cəbrayıl FK | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 33 |
| 9 | ![]() | Şimal FC | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 36 |
| 10 | ![]() | FK Difai Ağsu | 12 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 25 |
Away Expected Points Table for Azerbaijan - First Division 2025/26 season.
Expected Points (xPts) - Azerbaijan
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