SUNDAY 31st March at 20:00
PSG, currently 20 points clear in Ligue 1, travel to Toulouse on Sunday. This might look like a routine victory for the French champions but recent form has seen the home side move away from the relegation zone and they’ll be relishing this fixture. It will be interesting to see how Mbappe performs, with news circulating earlier this week that he is destined for Real Madrid this summer.
PSG’s form is spectacular, as you might expect. They simply dominate the French league and they have won 11 of the last 12 fixtures. They dropped points when they lost away at Lyon at the start of February. Since then, however, they have returned to their unforgiving nature. They have scored 17 goals in the last 5 games. The majority of these goals, it’s interesting to note, have come in the second half of games.
Toulouse, as we mentioned have upped their game recently and have not tasted defeat at home in 6 games now. They recently drew 2-2 at home with Lyon, the only side to defeat PSG in the league this season. I think it’s sensible to predict that they’ll lose this game, but by how many and will they score?
Adding to the stat we mentioned earlier about PSG scoring most of their recent goals in the second half of matches, I looked at their stats page to find out that 63% of their goals have come in the latter stages of games. This could be due to the opposing team giving up, or simply making mistakes due to being worn out by PSG’s possession. It’s not easy running around after Kylian Mbappe.
I’m going to go with PSG to win, obviously. But I’ll be creating a bet builder that also plays into some of the stats that I’ve discovered whilst looking at the latest Ligue 1 form. Here’s what I’ll be backing in this game, and I have to say I’m really impressed with the odds on this one.
- PSG to Win and 2nd Half Most Goals @ 2.30
Adding to this, Toulouse has seen 64% of home goals scored in the second half of matches. I think this is a brilliant find. What are you betting on this weekend, and will you be following this prediction?
FootyStats users really are a smart bunch. They find value we miss all the time. You can view all of their curated predictions in one place, via our daily football predictions page.
Head to Head (Past Fixtures)
Looking back at recent history, it’s not good for Toulouse. PSG has won 9 of the last 12 meetings between these sides, with a single victory for Toulouse back in September 2016. The last meeting between these sides ended in a 1-0 victory to PSG, back in November. The game before, also 1-0.