Last Updated: Monday 1st April
Monday 1st april at 20:00
Arsenal will be looking to continue their fine home form this season and increase their chances of Champions League football on Monday with a victory against Newcastle.
Arsenal can do no wrong at home, where they have won 81% of their games. They are unbeaten in the last 5, winning 4 and drawing 1-1 to Tottenham at the beginning of March. They have scored 11 goals in the last 5 games and overall this season have netted 2.31 goals per home game. Emery’s side will be hoping to take advantage of the poor away form Newcastle has shown this season. The defence has done their bit, too, with Arsenal conceding just 0.75 goals per home game this season.
Newcastle has recorded just a single victory away from home since November, and that came at Huddersfield. No disrespect to the Terriers, but my Sunday league side could have gone to Huddersfield and got something. It’s a different story at home for the Toon, where they have won the last 5 games. Something just isn’t clicking on the road. They have scored just 0.80 goals per game whilst playing away this season. This, combined with the earlier stats on Arsenal’s defence does not bode well for Newcastle.
More: Football Form Guide
It’s very likely that Arsenal will win this game. Newcastle has failed to score in 40% of their away games whilst Arsenal has a strong defensive record at home, keeping a clean sheet in 38% of games.
Here’s my prediction for this game, using the stats from our Arsenal stats page.
- Arsenal to Win and BTTS: NO @2.37
FootyStats users really are a smart bunch. They find value we miss all the time. You can view all of their curated predictions in one place, via our daily football predictions page.
- Arsenal Win: 1.33
- Draw: 5.25
- Newcastle Win: 9.50
Head to Head (Past Fixtures)
Looking back at recent history, it’s not good for Newcastle. Arsenal has won 10/11 recent fixtures between these sides. The last meeting finished 2-1 to Arsenal back in September after Granit Xhaka scored a stunning free-kick. Newcastle scored late on but was able to stage a comeback of any kind.